Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 contest in the remote eastern Arnhem Land seat. The vacancy arose after independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the Country Liberal Party government. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, emphasizes continuity with Guyula's focus on local healthcare access, Yolŋu-led decision-making, and community advocacy in an electorate where more than 60 percent of voters are Indigenous. Labor's decision to contest after sitting out the 2024 general election—where Guyula secured 75 percent as the sole opponent to the CLP—has consolidated trader expectations around the party's organized campaign and cultural alignment. Limited visibility for other nominees, including low odds for Andrew Blamey, reinforces this positioning ahead of the short campaign window. A late independent entry or unexpectedly strong CLP mobilization on turnout could still shift results in the preferential voting system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/09/12
イワール・マグラス
95%
アンドリュー・ブレイミー
6%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
イワール・マグラス
$1,187 Vol.
95%
アンドリュー・ブレイミー
$558 Vol.
6%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 contest in the remote eastern Arnhem Land seat. The vacancy arose after independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the Country Liberal Party government. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, emphasizes continuity with Guyula's focus on local healthcare access, Yolŋu-led decision-making, and community advocacy in an electorate where more than 60 percent of voters are Indigenous. Labor's decision to contest after sitting out the 2024 general election—where Guyula secured 75 percent as the sole opponent to the CLP—has consolidated trader expectations around the party's organized campaign and cultural alignment. Limited visibility for other nominees, including low odds for Andrew Blamey, reinforces this positioning ahead of the short campaign window. A late independent entry or unexpectedly strong CLP mobilization on turnout could still shift results in the preferential voting system.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$1,745終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 contest in the remote eastern Arnhem Land seat. The vacancy arose after independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the Country Liberal Party government. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, emphasizes continuity with Guyula's focus on local healthcare access, Yolŋu-led decision-making, and community advocacy in an electorate where more than 60 percent of voters are Indigenous. Labor's decision to contest after sitting out the 2024 general election—where Guyula secured 75 percent as the sole opponent to the CLP—has consolidated trader expectations around the party's organized campaign and cultural alignment. Limited visibility for other nominees, including low odds for Andrew Blamey, reinforces this positioning ahead of the short campaign window. A late independent entry or unexpectedly strong CLP mobilization on turnout could still shift results in the preferential voting system.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
音量
$1,745終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 contest in the remote eastern Arnhem Land seat. The vacancy arose after independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the Country Liberal Party government. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, emphasizes continuity with Guyula's focus on local healthcare access, Yolŋu-led decision-making, and community advocacy in an electorate where more than 60 percent of voters are Indigenous. Labor's decision to contest after sitting out the 2024 general election—where Guyula secured 75 percent as the sole opponent to the CLP—has consolidated trader expectations around the party's organized campaign and cultural alignment. Limited visibility for other nominees, including low odds for Andrew Blamey, reinforces this positioning ahead of the short campaign window. A late independent entry or unexpectedly strong CLP mobilization on turnout could still shift results in the preferential voting system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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