The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ケリー=リン・フィンドリー 49%
パム・アレクシス 40%
ラクウィンダー・ジャージ 24%

ケリー=リン・フィンドリー
49%

パム・アレクシス
40%

ラクウィンダー・ジャージ
24%
ケリー=リン・フィンドリー 49%
パム・アレクシス 40%
ラクウィンダー・ジャージ 24%

ケリー=リン・フィンドリー
49%

パム・アレクシス
40%

ラクウィンダー・ジャージ
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問