Recent provincial polling through early August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at roughly 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 26-27% and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-21%, with the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire further back. Seat projections from aggregators such as 338Canada reflect this distribution, forecasting a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly for the October 5, 2026 election. The PQ’s stronger performance among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon underpins trader assessments, while modest CAQ gains following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership transition have not closed the gap. Undecided voters remain a notable share of the electorate, leaving room for late shifts ahead of the fixed-date vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 76%
CAQ 16%
PLQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$753,157 Vol.
$753,157 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
76%
CAQ
16%
PLQ
9%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 76%
CAQ 16%
PLQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$753,157 Vol.
$753,157 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
$79,897 Vol.
76%
CAQ
$107,878 Vol.
16%
PLQ
$99,782 Vol.
9%
PCQ
$206,726 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,378 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent provincial polling through early August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at roughly 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 26-27% and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-21%, with the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire further back. Seat projections from aggregators such as 338Canada reflect this distribution, forecasting a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly for the October 5, 2026 election. The PQ’s stronger performance among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon underpins trader assessments, while modest CAQ gains following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership transition have not closed the gap. Undecided voters remain a notable share of the electorate, leaving room for late shifts ahead of the fixed-date vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$753,157終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent provincial polling through early August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at roughly 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 26-27% and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-21%, with the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire further back. Seat projections from aggregators such as 338Canada reflect this distribution, forecasting a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly for the October 5, 2026 election. The PQ’s stronger performance among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon underpins trader assessments, while modest CAQ gains following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership transition have not closed the gap. Undecided voters remain a notable share of the electorate, leaving room for late shifts ahead of the fixed-date vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$753,157終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent provincial polling through early August 2026 shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at roughly 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 26-27% and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec at 19-21%, with the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire further back. Seat projections from aggregators such as 338Canada reflect this distribution, forecasting a PQ plurality or majority in the National Assembly for the October 5, 2026 election. The PQ’s stronger performance among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon underpins trader assessments, while modest CAQ gains following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership transition have not closed the gap. Undecided voters remain a notable share of the electorate, leaving room for late shifts ahead of the fixed-date vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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