Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 57.5% to become next Premier following the October 2026 general election, reflecting PQ's polling strength among francophone voters and seat projections showing a likely minority government ahead of PLQ's Charles Milliard at 33.5%. Recent Pallas and Synopsis polls released May 13 confirm a neck-and-neck race with PQ and PLQ both around 29-30%, while incumbent CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 18-19% despite a 4-5 point gain under her April leadership win. PLQ faces headwinds from UPAC's ongoing probe into prior leadership financing, though Milliard is not a target, underscoring the tight contest and volatility in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 57%
Charles Milliard 34%
Christine Fréchette 6.0%
Éric Duhaime <1%
$21,006 Vol.
$21,006 Vol.
2026/10/05
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
57%
Charles Milliard
34%
Christine Fréchette
6%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 57%
Charles Milliard 34%
Christine Fréchette 6.0%
Éric Duhaime <1%
$21,006 Vol.
$21,006 Vol.
2026/10/05
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
$4,410 Vol.
57%
Charles Milliard
$2,548 Vol.
34%
Christine Fréchette
$2,787 Vol.
6%
Éric Duhaime
$5,138 Vol.
1%
Sol Zanetti
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
$2,597 Vol.
<1%
Bernard Drainville
$1,923 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 57.5% to become next Premier following the October 2026 general election, reflecting PQ's polling strength among francophone voters and seat projections showing a likely minority government ahead of PLQ's Charles Milliard at 33.5%. Recent Pallas and Synopsis polls released May 13 confirm a neck-and-neck race with PQ and PLQ both around 29-30%, while incumbent CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 18-19% despite a 4-5 point gain under her April leadership win. PLQ faces headwinds from UPAC's ongoing probe into prior leadership financing, though Milliard is not a target, underscoring the tight contest and volatility in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
音量
$21,006終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 57.5% to become next Premier following the October 2026 general election, reflecting PQ's polling strength among francophone voters and seat projections showing a likely minority government ahead of PLQ's Charles Milliard at 33.5%. Recent Pallas and Synopsis polls released May 13 confirm a neck-and-neck race with PQ and PLQ both around 29-30%, while incumbent CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 18-19% despite a 4-5 point gain under her April leadership win. PLQ faces headwinds from UPAC's ongoing probe into prior leadership financing, though Milliard is not a target, underscoring the tight contest and volatility in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$21,006終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 57.5% to become next Premier following the October 2026 general election, reflecting PQ's polling strength among francophone voters and seat projections showing a likely minority government ahead of PLQ's Charles Milliard at 33.5%. Recent Pallas and Synopsis polls released May 13 confirm a neck-and-neck race with PQ and PLQ both around 29-30%, while incumbent CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 18-19% despite a 4-5 point gain under her April leadership win. PLQ faces headwinds from UPAC's ongoing probe into prior leadership financing, though Milliard is not a target, underscoring the tight contest and volatility in Quebec's first-past-the-post system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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