AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to its record polling performance at 41 percent in recent Infratest dimap surveys, far ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and other parties. This positioning stems from sustained voter dissatisfaction in the eastern state with the federal coalition under Chancellor Friedrich Merz, alongside concerns over economic conditions and migration policy that have boosted AfD support over the past several months. With the September 6 election still months away, the implied probability reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing limited scope for major reversals, though shifts in turnout among smaller parties like the Left, SPD, or BSW could influence final seat distribution and coalition options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 94%
CDU 6.0%
BSW <1%
左翼党 <1%
$699,962 Vol.
$699,962 Vol.
2026/09/06
AfD
94%
CDU
6%
BSW
1%
左翼党
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
緑の党
<1%
AfD 94%
CDU 6.0%
BSW <1%
左翼党 <1%
$699,962 Vol.
$699,962 Vol.
2026/09/06
AfD
$21,107 Vol.
94%
CDU
$469,701 Vol.
6%
BSW
$19,270 Vol.
1%
左翼党
$35,162 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$14,630 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$107,010 Vol.
<1%
緑の党
$33,083 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to its record polling performance at 41 percent in recent Infratest dimap surveys, far ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and other parties. This positioning stems from sustained voter dissatisfaction in the eastern state with the federal coalition under Chancellor Friedrich Merz, alongside concerns over economic conditions and migration policy that have boosted AfD support over the past several months. With the September 6 election still months away, the implied probability reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing limited scope for major reversals, though shifts in turnout among smaller parties like the Left, SPD, or BSW could influence final seat distribution and coalition options.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$699,962終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to its record polling performance at 41 percent in recent Infratest dimap surveys, far ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and other parties. This positioning stems from sustained voter dissatisfaction in the eastern state with the federal coalition under Chancellor Friedrich Merz, alongside concerns over economic conditions and migration policy that have boosted AfD support over the past several months. With the September 6 election still months away, the implied probability reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing limited scope for major reversals, though shifts in turnout among smaller parties like the Left, SPD, or BSW could influence final seat distribution and coalition options.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$699,962終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to its record polling performance at 41 percent in recent Infratest dimap surveys, far ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and other parties. This positioning stems from sustained voter dissatisfaction in the eastern state with the federal coalition under Chancellor Friedrich Merz, alongside concerns over economic conditions and migration policy that have boosted AfD support over the past several months. With the September 6 election still months away, the implied probability reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing limited scope for major reversals, though shifts in turnout among smaller parties like the Left, SPD, or BSW could influence final seat distribution and coalition options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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