Recent polling averages place the AfD at 41–43 percent support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double the CDU’s 22–24 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 13 percent, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW clustered at or below the five-percent threshold. This sustained lead, consistent across multiple surveys through early August, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality or outright majority of seats under the state’s proportional system. Trader consensus reflects the absence of late-campaign catalysts capable of closing the gap, though a sharp shift in turnout among smaller-party voters or an unforeseen scandal could still alter seat projections before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 99.4%
CDU <1%
左翼党 <1%
BSW <1%
$884,948 Vol.
$884,948 Vol.
2026/09/06
AfD
99%
CDU
1%
左翼党
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
緑の党
<1%
AfD 99.4%
CDU <1%
左翼党 <1%
BSW <1%
$884,948 Vol.
$884,948 Vol.
2026/09/06
AfD
$90,540 Vol.
99%
CDU
$502,168 Vol.
1%
左翼党
$47,106 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 Vol.
<1%
緑の党
$56,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the AfD at 41–43 percent support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double the CDU’s 22–24 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 13 percent, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW clustered at or below the five-percent threshold. This sustained lead, consistent across multiple surveys through early August, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality or outright majority of seats under the state’s proportional system. Trader consensus reflects the absence of late-campaign catalysts capable of closing the gap, though a sharp shift in turnout among smaller-party voters or an unforeseen scandal could still alter seat projections before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$884,948終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the AfD at 41–43 percent support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double the CDU’s 22–24 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 13 percent, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW clustered at or below the five-percent threshold. This sustained lead, consistent across multiple surveys through early August, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality or outright majority of seats under the state’s proportional system. Trader consensus reflects the absence of late-campaign catalysts capable of closing the gap, though a sharp shift in turnout among smaller-party voters or an unforeseen scandal could still alter seat projections before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$884,948終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages place the AfD at 41–43 percent support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double the CDU’s 22–24 percent and well ahead of Die Linke near 13 percent, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW clustered at or below the five-percent threshold. This sustained lead, consistent across multiple surveys through early August, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality or outright majority of seats under the state’s proportional system. Trader consensus reflects the absence of late-campaign catalysts capable of closing the gap, though a sharp shift in turnout among smaller-party voters or an unforeseen scandal could still alter seat projections before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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