Recent polling trends across multiple surveys place the AfD ahead with roughly 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, leaving the CDU in a stable second position at around 26 percent. This gap of 12 to 15 points over the Left Party has held steady since late 2025, with smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP trailing further behind. Traders have priced this outcome at 92.5 percent probability, reflecting the absence of any significant shift that would allow another party to overtake the CDU. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or a sharper drop in CDU support before election day, remains the primary scenario that could alter second-place positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CDU 93%
AfD 4.5%
BSW 1.9%
FDP 1.0%
$47,447 Vol.
$47,447 Vol.
2026/09/06
CDU
93%
AfD
5%
BSW
2%
FDP
1%
左翼党
1%
緑の党
1%
SPD
1%
CDU 93%
AfD 4.5%
BSW 1.9%
FDP 1.0%
$47,447 Vol.
$47,447 Vol.
2026/09/06
CDU
$19,280 Vol.
93%
AfD
$1,045 Vol.
5%
BSW
$880 Vol.
2%
FDP
$1,861 Vol.
1%
左翼党
$1,113 Vol.
1%
緑の党
$1,006 Vol.
1%
SPD
$22,262 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling trends across multiple surveys place the AfD ahead with roughly 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, leaving the CDU in a stable second position at around 26 percent. This gap of 12 to 15 points over the Left Party has held steady since late 2025, with smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP trailing further behind. Traders have priced this outcome at 92.5 percent probability, reflecting the absence of any significant shift that would allow another party to overtake the CDU. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or a sharper drop in CDU support before election day, remains the primary scenario that could alter second-place positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
音量
$47,447終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling trends across multiple surveys place the AfD ahead with roughly 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, leaving the CDU in a stable second position at around 26 percent. This gap of 12 to 15 points over the Left Party has held steady since late 2025, with smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP trailing further behind. Traders have priced this outcome at 92.5 percent probability, reflecting the absence of any significant shift that would allow another party to overtake the CDU. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or a sharper drop in CDU support before election day, remains the primary scenario that could alter second-place positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$47,447終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends across multiple surveys place the AfD ahead with roughly 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, leaving the CDU in a stable second position at around 26 percent. This gap of 12 to 15 points over the Left Party has held steady since late 2025, with smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP trailing further behind. Traders have priced this outcome at 92.5 percent probability, reflecting the absence of any significant shift that would allow another party to overtake the CDU. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or a sharper drop in CDU support before election day, remains the primary scenario that could alter second-place positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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