Recent polling averages place the AfD comfortably ahead at 41-43% for the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, positioning the CDU as the clear second-placed party at 22-24% and well ahead of Die Linke near 13%. This gap has held steady across multiple surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and others through July and early August, reflecting limited movement in voter intentions. The CDU's established base in the state, combined with the proportional representation system and 5% threshold that sidelines smaller parties like the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW, reinforces trader expectations. A late surge by Die Linke or unexpected AfD underperformance remains the primary variables that could alter second-place ordering before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CDU 98.2%
左翼党 1.3%
AfD <1%
SPD <1%
$124,072 Vol.
$124,072 Vol.

CDU
98%

左翼党
1%

AfD
<1%

SPD
<1%

緑の党
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%
CDU 98.2%
左翼党 1.3%
AfD <1%
SPD <1%
$124,072 Vol.
$124,072 Vol.

CDU
98%

左翼党
1%

AfD
<1%

SPD
<1%

緑の党
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the AfD comfortably ahead at 41-43% for the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, positioning the CDU as the clear second-placed party at 22-24% and well ahead of Die Linke near 13%. This gap has held steady across multiple surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and others through July and early August, reflecting limited movement in voter intentions. The CDU's established base in the state, combined with the proportional representation system and 5% threshold that sidelines smaller parties like the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW, reinforces trader expectations. A late surge by Die Linke or unexpected AfD underperformance remains the primary variables that could alter second-place ordering before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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