Thorsten Kornblum, the SPD incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the Braunschweig Oberbürgermeister runoff after securing 43.3 percent in the September 13 first round, well ahead of CDU challenger Maximilian Pohler at 17.2 percent. No candidate reached the absolute majority required under German municipal rules, triggering the September 27 second round between the top two finishers. Kornblum’s margin reflects strong voter support for his record on local priorities such as education, infrastructure, and public safety, alongside the SPD’s position as the largest force in the city council. Trader consensus assigns him over 90 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where first-round frontrunners prevail in German mayoral runoffs. A narrow upset remains possible if turnout drops sharply or if late shifts consolidate opposition votes, though current polling and structural advantages limit that scope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Thorsten Kornblum 95.0%
Maximilian Pohler 3.9%
Max Wieland 2.0%
Michael Walther 1.5%
$18,364 Vol.
$18,364 Vol.
2026/09/13
Thorsten Kornblum
95%
Maximilian Pohler
4%
Max Wieland
2%
Michael Walther
2%
Leonie Bartsch
<1%
Ingo Schramm
<1%
Timothy Rathjen
<1%
Robert Glogowski
<1%
Thorsten Kornblum 95.0%
Maximilian Pohler 3.9%
Max Wieland 2.0%
Michael Walther 1.5%
$18,364 Vol.
$18,364 Vol.
2026/09/13
Thorsten Kornblum
$12,508 Vol.
95%
Maximilian Pohler
$1,493 Vol.
4%
Max Wieland
$670 Vol.
2%
Michael Walther
$1,307 Vol.
2%
Leonie Bartsch
$689 Vol.
<1%
Ingo Schramm
$585 Vol.
<1%
Timothy Rathjen
$482 Vol.
<1%
Robert Glogowski
$631 Vol.
<1%
The next Braunschweig mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Braunschweig, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Braunschweig). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Braunschweig, including its election office and municipal election committee.Thorsten Kornblum, the SPD incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the Braunschweig Oberbürgermeister runoff after securing 43.3 percent in the September 13 first round, well ahead of CDU challenger Maximilian Pohler at 17.2 percent. No candidate reached the absolute majority required under German municipal rules, triggering the September 27 second round between the top two finishers. Kornblum’s margin reflects strong voter support for his record on local priorities such as education, infrastructure, and public safety, alongside the SPD’s position as the largest force in the city council. Trader consensus assigns him over 90 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where first-round frontrunners prevail in German mayoral runoffs. A narrow upset remains possible if turnout drops sharply or if late shifts consolidate opposition votes, though current polling and structural advantages limit that scope.
The next Braunschweig mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Braunschweig, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Braunschweig). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Braunschweig, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Braunschweig, including its election office and municipal election committee.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
音量
$18,364終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The next Braunschweig mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Braunschweig, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Braunschweig). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Braunschweig, including its election office and municipal election committee.Thorsten Kornblum, the SPD incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the Braunschweig Oberbürgermeister runoff after securing 43.3 percent in the September 13 first round, well ahead of CDU challenger Maximilian Pohler at 17.2 percent. No candidate reached the absolute majority required under German municipal rules, triggering the September 27 second round between the top two finishers. Kornblum’s margin reflects strong voter support for his record on local priorities such as education, infrastructure, and public safety, alongside the SPD’s position as the largest force in the city council. Trader consensus assigns him over 90 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where first-round frontrunners prevail in German mayoral runoffs. A narrow upset remains possible if turnout drops sharply or if late shifts consolidate opposition votes, though current polling and structural advantages limit that scope.
The next Braunschweig mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Braunschweig, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Braunschweig). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Braunschweig, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Braunschweig, including its election office and municipal election committee.
音量
$18,364終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Thorsten Kornblum, the SPD incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the Braunschweig Oberbürgermeister runoff after securing 43.3 percent in the September 13 first round, well ahead of CDU challenger Maximilian Pohler at 17.2 percent. No candidate reached the absolute majority required under German municipal rules, triggering the September 27 second round between the top two finishers. Kornblum’s margin reflects strong voter support for his record on local priorities such as education, infrastructure, and public safety, alongside the SPD’s position as the largest force in the city council. Trader consensus assigns him over 90 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where first-round frontrunners prevail in German mayoral runoffs. A narrow upset remains possible if turnout drops sharply or if late shifts consolidate opposition votes, though current polling and structural advantages limit that scope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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