Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, enters the September 27 runoff with a commanding position after securing 42.2 percent in the September 13 first round—nearly double the 22.3 percent received by her Green challenger Volker Bajus. This performance, combined with her established local profile and record on issues such as infrastructure and city finances, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Other candidates from the SPD, Left, FDP, and AfD trailed further behind and were eliminated. A realistic shift would require unusually high mobilization among opposition voters or late developments that erode her broad appeal across party lines, though historical patterns in German municipal runoffs favor the stronger first-round performer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カタリーナ・ポッター 91.5%
フォルカー・バユス 4.5%
ロベルト・アルフェリンク 1.0%
オリバー・ハスカンプ <1%
$83,890 Vol.
$83,890 Vol.

カタリーナ・ポッター
92%

フォルカー・バユス
5%

ロベルト・アルフェリンク
1%

オリバー・ハスカンプ
1%

トーマス・グロース
<1%

トーステン・ヴァッサーマン
<1%
カタリーナ・ポッター 91.5%
フォルカー・バユス 4.5%
ロベルト・アルフェリンク 1.0%
オリバー・ハスカンプ <1%
$83,890 Vol.
$83,890 Vol.

カタリーナ・ポッター
92%

フォルカー・バユス
5%

ロベルト・アルフェリンク
1%

オリバー・ハスカンプ
1%

トーマス・グロース
<1%

トーステン・ヴァッサーマン
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, enters the September 27 runoff with a commanding position after securing 42.2 percent in the September 13 first round—nearly double the 22.3 percent received by her Green challenger Volker Bajus. This performance, combined with her established local profile and record on issues such as infrastructure and city finances, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Other candidates from the SPD, Left, FDP, and AfD trailed further behind and were eliminated. A realistic shift would require unusually high mobilization among opposition voters or late developments that erode her broad appeal across party lines, though historical patterns in German municipal runoffs favor the stronger first-round performer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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