AfD leads polls by wide margins in eastern states ahead of the September 2026 contests in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and Berlin, with support near or above 40 percent in Saxony-Anhalt and in the low-to-mid 30s in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. These figures position the party to secure the largest share of seats in at least one and possibly two eastern legislatures under proportional representation, though coalition barriers and turnout shifts could alter final seat counts. Berlin remains more fragmented. Recent party leadership elections and sustained polling strength have reinforced trader views of competitive outcomes across zero to three possible pluralities, while mainstream parties maintain their firewall stance. Late-campaign developments in voter mobilization or economic sentiment could separate the probabilities before the September 6 and 20 voting dates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2 59%
1 24%
3 9%
0 5.2%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
0
5%
1
24%
2
59%
3
9%
2 59%
1 24%
3 9%
0 5.2%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
0
$114 Vol.
5%
1
$589 Vol.
24%
2
$346 Vol.
59%
3
$446 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads polls by wide margins in eastern states ahead of the September 2026 contests in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and Berlin, with support near or above 40 percent in Saxony-Anhalt and in the low-to-mid 30s in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. These figures position the party to secure the largest share of seats in at least one and possibly two eastern legislatures under proportional representation, though coalition barriers and turnout shifts could alter final seat counts. Berlin remains more fragmented. Recent party leadership elections and sustained polling strength have reinforced trader views of competitive outcomes across zero to three possible pluralities, while mainstream parties maintain their firewall stance. Late-campaign developments in voter mobilization or economic sentiment could separate the probabilities before the September 6 and 20 voting dates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
音量
$1,495終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads polls by wide margins in eastern states ahead of the September 2026 contests in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and Berlin, with support near or above 40 percent in Saxony-Anhalt and in the low-to-mid 30s in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. These figures position the party to secure the largest share of seats in at least one and possibly two eastern legislatures under proportional representation, though coalition barriers and turnout shifts could alter final seat counts. Berlin remains more fragmented. Recent party leadership elections and sustained polling strength have reinforced trader views of competitive outcomes across zero to three possible pluralities, while mainstream parties maintain their firewall stance. Late-campaign developments in voter mobilization or economic sentiment could separate the probabilities before the September 6 and 20 voting dates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
音量
$1,495終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...AfD leads polls by wide margins in eastern states ahead of the September 2026 contests in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and Berlin, with support near or above 40 percent in Saxony-Anhalt and in the low-to-mid 30s in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. These figures position the party to secure the largest share of seats in at least one and possibly two eastern legislatures under proportional representation, though coalition barriers and turnout shifts could alter final seat counts. Berlin remains more fragmented. Recent party leadership elections and sustained polling strength have reinforced trader views of competitive outcomes across zero to three possible pluralities, while mainstream parties maintain their firewall stance. Late-campaign developments in voter mobilization or economic sentiment could separate the probabilities before the September 6 and 20 voting dates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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