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icon for メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者
世界·グローバル選挙

メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者

icon for メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者
世界·グローバル選挙

メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者

AfD 100.0%

CDU <1%

グリューネ <1%

SPD <1%

Polymarket

$2,401,289 Vol.

AfD 100.0%

CDU <1%

グリューネ <1%

SPD <1%

Polymarket

$2,401,289 Vol.

icon for CDU

CDU

$45,512 Vol.

いいえ

icon for AfD

AfD

$1,156,782 Vol.

はい

icon for グリューネ

グリューネ

$71,511 Vol.

いいえ

icon for SPD

SPD

$881,968 Vol.

いいえ

icon for FDP

FDP

$77,156 Vol.

いいえ

icon for リンクェ

リンクェ

$29,935 Vol.

いいえ

icon for FW

FW

$116,032 Vol.

いいえ

icon for BSW

BSW

$22,393 Vol.

いいえ

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD secured the largest share of votes in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 result to 38.2 percent and edging out the SPD at 35.5 percent. This outcome aligns with the party's recent gains in eastern states and high turnout exceeding 78 percent. The CDU fell below the 5 percent threshold for the first time in postwar history, while the Left and Greens cleared it narrowly. Other parties have signaled they will not enter coalitions with the AfD, leaving government formation open despite the party's lead in seats. Final certified results or minor procedural adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the recorded winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$2,401,289
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD secured the largest share of votes in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 result to 38.2 percent and edging out the SPD at 35.5 percent. This outcome aligns with the party's recent gains in eastern states and high turnout exceeding 78 percent. The CDU fell below the 5 percent threshold for the first time in postwar history, while the Left and Greens cleared it narrowly. Other parties have signaled they will not enter coalitions with the AfD, leaving government formation open despite the party's lead in seats. Final certified results or minor procedural adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the recorded winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$2,401,289
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

関連

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Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

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icon for 次のメクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州政府にリンクェが参加しますか？

次のメクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州政府にリンクェが参加しますか？

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はい

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よくある質問

「メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「AfD」で100%、次いで「CDU」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」は$2.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「AfD」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「CDU」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「メクレンブルク＝フォアポンメルン州議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。