Recent polls across Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the Alternative for Deutschland maintaining a commanding lead of 34–37 percent, well ahead of the governing Social Democrats at 23–27 percent and the Christian Democrats trailing further behind. This sustained advantage stems from ongoing voter shifts in eastern Germany, where AfD support has risen sharply since the previous state election, reflecting preferences on key regional issues such as economic conditions and immigration policy. With the September 20, 2026, vote still months away, no major shifts in coalition alignments or candidate announcements have altered the positioning. Traders’ strong consensus on an AfD outcome aligns with these repeated survey results and the absence of disruptive events that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 86%
SPD 14%
CDU <1%
グリューネ <1%
$217,972 Vol.
$217,972 Vol.

AfD
86%

SPD
14%

CDU
<1%

グリューネ
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%

リンクェ
<1%

FW
<1%
AfD 86%
SPD 14%
CDU <1%
グリューネ <1%
$217,972 Vol.
$217,972 Vol.

AfD
86%

SPD
14%

CDU
<1%

グリューネ
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%

リンクェ
<1%

FW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
マーケット開始日: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls across Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show the Alternative for Deutschland maintaining a commanding lead of 34–37 percent, well ahead of the governing Social Democrats at 23–27 percent and the Christian Democrats trailing further behind. This sustained advantage stems from ongoing voter shifts in eastern Germany, where AfD support has risen sharply since the previous state election, reflecting preferences on key regional issues such as economic conditions and immigration policy. With the September 20, 2026, vote still months away, no major shifts in coalition alignments or candidate announcements have altered the positioning. Traders’ strong consensus on an AfD outcome aligns with these repeated survey results and the absence of disruptive events that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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