Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a mixed proportional and single-mandate system where administrative mobilization, expanded electronic voting, and three-day balloting have historically anchored turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With United Russia leveraging incumbency and regional structures to drive participation while opposition parties face organizational limits, trader odds cluster tightly across the 50-62 percent brackets as no decisive shift in mobilization capacity or public engagement has emerged in recent months. Factors such as ongoing economic pressures and procedural continuity sustain this equilibrium, with potential separation hinging on any late adjustments to voting access or regional campaign intensity before the September vote window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日53-56% 44.1%
50-53% 36%
59-62% 31%
62%+ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
<47%
24%
47-50%
29%
50-53%
36%
53-56%
44%
56-59%
23%
59-62%
31%
62%+
38%
53-56% 44.1%
50-53% 36%
59-62% 31%
62%+ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
<47%
$175 Vol.
24%
47-50%
$67 Vol.
29%
50-53%
$67 Vol.
36%
53-56%
$73 Vol.
44%
56-59%
$59 Vol.
23%
59-62%
$60 Vol.
31%
62%+
$62 Vol.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a mixed proportional and single-mandate system where administrative mobilization, expanded electronic voting, and three-day balloting have historically anchored turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With United Russia leveraging incumbency and regional structures to drive participation while opposition parties face organizational limits, trader odds cluster tightly across the 50-62 percent brackets as no decisive shift in mobilization capacity or public engagement has emerged in recent months. Factors such as ongoing economic pressures and procedural continuity sustain this equilibrium, with potential separation hinging on any late adjustments to voting access or regional campaign intensity before the September vote window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
音量
$564終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a mixed proportional and single-mandate system where administrative mobilization, expanded electronic voting, and three-day balloting have historically anchored turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With United Russia leveraging incumbency and regional structures to drive participation while opposition parties face organizational limits, trader odds cluster tightly across the 50-62 percent brackets as no decisive shift in mobilization capacity or public engagement has emerged in recent months. Factors such as ongoing economic pressures and procedural continuity sustain this equilibrium, with potential separation hinging on any late adjustments to voting access or regional campaign intensity before the September vote window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
音量
$564終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a mixed proportional and single-mandate system where administrative mobilization, expanded electronic voting, and three-day balloting have historically anchored turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With United Russia leveraging incumbency and regional structures to drive participation while opposition parties face organizational limits, trader odds cluster tightly across the 50-62 percent brackets as no decisive shift in mobilization capacity or public engagement has emerged in recent months. Factors such as ongoing economic pressures and procedural continuity sustain this equilibrium, with potential separation hinging on any late adjustments to voting access or regional campaign intensity before the September vote window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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