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icon for 2026年スロバキア国民投票:何が通過するのか?

2026年スロバキア国民投票:何が通過するのか?

icon for 2026年スロバキア国民投票:何が通過するのか?

2026年スロバキア国民投票:何が通過するのか?

新規
2026/07/04
Polymarket

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Polymarket

政治家の終身年金廃止

$0 Vol.

46%

特別検察官局と国家犯罪捜査局の復活

$0 Vol.

46%

Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 1 asks whether to abolish the lifetime annuity for certain constitutional officials of the Slovak Republic. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 2 asks whether to restore the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Slovakia’s July 4, 2026 referendum features two questions stemming from a citizen petition exceeding 350,000 signatures: abolishing lifetime annuities for officials who served at least two terms and restoring the Special Prosecutor’s Office plus National Crime Agency, both dismantled in 2024. President Peter Pellegrini scheduled the vote after excluding a proposed question on shortening parliament’s term as unconstitutional. Trader positioning centers on public sentiment toward the current coalition’s institutional changes, opposition mobilization around anti-corruption and pension issues, and the binding 50% turnout threshold required for validity. Recent developments include the April 2026 petition validation and formal decree, with limited polling available on separate passage of each measure. The short window before voting day leaves room for last-minute turnout efforts or legal challenges to influence outcomes.

Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 1 asks whether to abolish the lifetime annuity for certain constitutional officials of the Slovak Republic. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.

If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/04
マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:42 PM ET
Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 1 asks whether to abolish the lifetime annuity for certain constitutional officials of the Slovak Republic. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 1 asks whether to abolish the lifetime annuity for certain constitutional officials of the Slovak Republic. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 2 asks whether to restore the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Slovakia’s July 4, 2026 referendum features two questions stemming from a citizen petition exceeding 350,000 signatures: abolishing lifetime annuities for officials who served at least two terms and restoring the Special Prosecutor’s Office plus National Crime Agency, both dismantled in 2024. President Peter Pellegrini scheduled the vote after excluding a proposed question on shortening parliament’s term as unconstitutional. Trader positioning centers on public sentiment toward the current coalition’s institutional changes, opposition mobilization around anti-corruption and pension issues, and the binding 50% turnout threshold required for validity. Recent developments include the April 2026 petition validation and formal decree, with limited polling available on separate passage of each measure. The short window before voting day leaves room for last-minute turnout efforts or legal challenges to influence outcomes.

Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 1 asks whether to abolish the lifetime annuity for certain constitutional officials of the Slovak Republic. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.

If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/04
マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:42 PM ET
Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 1 asks whether to abolish the lifetime annuity for certain constitutional officials of the Slovak Republic. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

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「2026年スロバキア国民投票:何が通過するのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「政治家の終身年金廃止」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「特別検察官局と国家犯罪捜査局の復活」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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