The closely contested Louisiana Republican Senate primary runoff between Julia Letlow and John Fleming sustains evenly distributed trader probabilities across margin outcomes, driven by recent polls showing the race tightening into a statistical tie after Letlow's 45% primary finish. Letlow holds advantages in presidential endorsement and campaign spending, yet Fleming has narrowed the gap through his statewide treasurer role and targeted outreach in key parishes. With the June 27 vote just days away, turnout dynamics, regional voting patterns, and late mobilization efforts remain the main variables that could produce separation in the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日レットロー 5〜10% 46%
レットロー <5％ 46%
フレミングが勝利 46%
レットロー 20〜25％ 42%
新規
新規
2026/06/27
レットロー25％超
41%
レットロー 20〜25％
42%
レットロー 15〜20％
41%
レットロー 10～15％
41%
レットロー 5〜10%
46%
レットロー <5％
46%
フレミングが勝利
46%
レットロー 5〜10% 46%
レットロー <5％ 46%
フレミングが勝利 46%
レットロー 20〜25％ 42%
新規
新規
2026/06/27
レットロー25％超
$0 Vol.
41%
レットロー 20〜25％
$0 Vol.
42%
レットロー 15〜20％
$0 Vol.
41%
レットロー 10～15％
$0 Vol.
41%
レットロー 5〜10%
$0 Vol.
46%
レットロー <5％
$0 Vol.
46%
フレミングが勝利
$0 Vol.
46%
The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely contested Louisiana Republican Senate primary runoff between Julia Letlow and John Fleming sustains evenly distributed trader probabilities across margin outcomes, driven by recent polls showing the race tightening into a statistical tie after Letlow's 45% primary finish. Letlow holds advantages in presidential endorsement and campaign spending, yet Fleming has narrowed the gap through his statewide treasurer role and targeted outreach in key parishes. With the June 27 vote just days away, turnout dynamics, regional voting patterns, and late mobilization efforts remain the main variables that could produce separation in the final margin.
The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely contested Louisiana Republican Senate primary runoff between Julia Letlow and John Fleming sustains evenly distributed trader probabilities across margin outcomes, driven by recent polls showing the race tightening into a statistical tie after Letlow's 45% primary finish. Letlow holds advantages in presidential endorsement and campaign spending, yet Fleming has narrowed the gap through his statewide treasurer role and targeted outreach in key parishes. With the June 27 vote just days away, turnout dynamics, regional voting patterns, and late mobilization efforts remain the main variables that could produce separation in the final margin.
The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Louisiana Republican Senate primary runoff between Julia Letlow and John Fleming sustains evenly distributed trader probabilities across margin outcomes, driven by recent polls showing the race tightening into a statistical tie after Letlow's 45% primary finish. Letlow holds advantages in presidential endorsement and campaign spending, yet Fleming has narrowed the gap through his statewide treasurer role and targeted outreach in key parishes. With the June 27 vote just days away, turnout dynamics, regional voting patterns, and late mobilization efforts remain the main variables that could produce separation in the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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