Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
ジョン・ヒーリー
60%
リサ・ナンディ
59%
エド・ミリバンド
57%
イヴェット・クーパー
55%
キア・スターマー
51%
パット・マクファデン
51%
ブリジット・フィリップソン
51%
ジョー・スティーブンス
51%
ジェス・フィリップス
51%
ウェス・ストリーティング
51%
デービッド・ラミー
51%
スティーブ・リード
50%
ダレン・ジョーンズ
50%
リズ・ケンダル
50%
イアン・マリー
50%
レイチェル・リーブス
50%
シャバナ・マフムード
50%
ハイディ・アレクサンダー
50%
ピーター・カイル
50%
アラン・キャンベル
50%
ダン・ジャーヴィス
50%
ジョナサン・レイノルズ
50%
キャサリン・ウェスト
50%
パトリック・ヴァランス
49%
ジャッキー・スミス
49%
ジェームズ・マレー
49%
アンジェラ・レイナー
48%
ヒラリー・ベン
48%
$0.00 Vol.
ジョン・ヒーリー
$0 Vol.
60%
リサ・ナンディ
$0 Vol.
59%
エド・ミリバンド
$0 Vol.
57%
イヴェット・クーパー
$0 Vol.
55%
キア・スターマー
$0 Vol.
51%
パット・マクファデン
$0 Vol.
51%
ブリジット・フィリップソン
$0 Vol.
51%
ジョー・スティーブンス
$0 Vol.
51%
ジェス・フィリップス
$0 Vol.
51%
ウェス・ストリーティング
$0 Vol.
51%
デービッド・ラミー
$0 Vol.
51%
スティーブ・リード
$0 Vol.
50%
ダレン・ジョーンズ
$0 Vol.
50%
リズ・ケンダル
$0 Vol.
50%
イアン・マリー
$0 Vol.
50%
レイチェル・リーブス
$0 Vol.
50%
シャバナ・マフムード
$0 Vol.
50%
ハイディ・アレクサンダー
$0 Vol.
50%
ピーター・カイル
$0 Vol.
50%
アラン・キャンベル
$0 Vol.
50%
ダン・ジャーヴィス
$0 Vol.
50%
ジョナサン・レイノルズ
$0 Vol.
50%
キャサリン・ウェスト
$0 Vol.
50%
パトリック・ヴァランス
$0 Vol.
49%
ジャッキー・スミス
$0 Vol.
49%
ジェームズ・マレー
$0 Vol.
49%
アンジェラ・レイナー
$0 Vol.
48%
ヒラリー・ベン
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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