**Recent reporting indicates the Trump administration is examining options to secure long-term control of the Diego Garcia military base on the Chagos Islands, including a potential direct purchase from Mauritius that would bypass the stalled UK-Mauritius sovereignty transfer.** This follows months of U.S. opposition to the UK deal, with President Trump publicly criticizing the handover and prompting Britain to pause legislation. The June 2026 Telegraph report cited internal White House planning, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reportedly raising the purchase idea, though accounts describe it as one among several alternatives rather than a priority. Mauritius has stated it has received no formal U.S. proposal or approach on the matter as of mid-June 2026. These factors—early-stage discussion without confirmed negotiations, Mauritian denial, complex diplomatic and legal requirements for any transfer or acquisition, and the short timeline remaining before 2027—support trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% probability on “No.” An announcement would require verifiable progress on sovereignty, funding, and bilateral agreement that has not yet materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
はい
新規
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that at least some territory on the Chagos Islands will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, United Kingdom, or Mauritius, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that land on the Chagos Archipelago has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.**Recent reporting indicates the Trump administration is examining options to secure long-term control of the Diego Garcia military base on the Chagos Islands, including a potential direct purchase from Mauritius that would bypass the stalled UK-Mauritius sovereignty transfer.**
This follows months of U.S. opposition to the UK deal, with President Trump publicly criticizing the handover and prompting Britain to pause legislation. The June 2026 Telegraph report cited internal White House planning, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reportedly raising the purchase idea, though accounts describe it as one among several alternatives rather than a priority. Mauritius has stated it has received no formal U.S. proposal or approach on the matter as of mid-June 2026.
These factors—early-stage discussion without confirmed negotiations, Mauritian denial, complex diplomatic and legal requirements for any transfer or acquisition, and the short timeline remaining before 2027—support trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% probability on “No.” An announcement would require verifiable progress on sovereignty, funding, and bilateral agreement that has not yet materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that at least some territory on the Chagos Islands will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, United Kingdom, or Mauritius, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that land on the Chagos Archipelago has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, United Kingdom, or Mauritius, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that land on the Chagos Archipelago has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
音量
$803マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that at least some territory on the Chagos Islands will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, United Kingdom, or Mauritius, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that land on the Chagos Archipelago has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.**Recent reporting indicates the Trump administration is examining options to secure long-term control of the Diego Garcia military base on the Chagos Islands, including a potential direct purchase from Mauritius that would bypass the stalled UK-Mauritius sovereignty transfer.**
This follows months of U.S. opposition to the UK deal, with President Trump publicly criticizing the handover and prompting Britain to pause legislation. The June 2026 Telegraph report cited internal White House planning, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reportedly raising the purchase idea, though accounts describe it as one among several alternatives rather than a priority. Mauritius has stated it has received no formal U.S. proposal or approach on the matter as of mid-June 2026.
These factors—early-stage discussion without confirmed negotiations, Mauritian denial, complex diplomatic and legal requirements for any transfer or acquisition, and the short timeline remaining before 2027—support trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% probability on “No.” An announcement would require verifiable progress on sovereignty, funding, and bilateral agreement that has not yet materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that at least some territory on the Chagos Islands will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, United Kingdom, or Mauritius, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that land on the Chagos Archipelago has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, United Kingdom, or Mauritius, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that land on the Chagos Archipelago has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$803マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent reporting indicates the Trump administration is examining options to secure long-term control of the Diego Garcia military base on the Chagos Islands, including a potential direct purchase from Mauritius that would bypass the stalled UK-Mauritius sovereignty transfer.** This follows months of U.S. opposition to the UK deal, with President Trump publicly criticizing the handover and prompting Britain to pause legislation. The June 2026 Telegraph report cited internal White House planning, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reportedly raising the purchase idea, though accounts describe it as one among several alternatives rather than a priority. Mauritius has stated it has received no formal U.S. proposal or approach on the matter as of mid-June 2026. These factors—early-stage discussion without confirmed negotiations, Mauritian denial, complex diplomatic and legal requirements for any transfer or acquisition, and the short timeline remaining before 2027—support trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% probability on “No.” An announcement would require verifiable progress on sovereignty, funding, and bilateral agreement that has not yet materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問