The U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, removed the long-serving president and installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim head of state via Supreme Tribunal action. Venezuela's National Assembly and armed forces have maintained institutional continuity under Chavista networks, while Rodríguez has pursued oil-sector reforms and renewed diplomatic ties with Washington. No presidential election date has been set for 2026, leaving open questions about the transition timeline and the role of opposition figures such as María Corina Machado. This fluid environment, with regime structures largely intact and no immediate vote scheduled, shapes trader assessments of who will hold power by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ニコラス・マドゥロ 63.9%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 21%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 8%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス <1%
$88,133,508 Vol.
$88,133,508 Vol.
2026/12/31
ニコラス・マドゥロ
64%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
21%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
8%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
1%
ドナルド・トランプ
1%
元首不在
1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
<1%
ダン・ケイン
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ 63.9%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 21%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 8%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス <1%
$88,133,508 Vol.
$88,133,508 Vol.
2026/12/31
ニコラス・マドゥロ
$1,705,753 Vol.
64%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
$1,597,331 Vol.
21%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
$1,055,770 Vol.
8%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
$1,002,523 Vol.
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
$821,950 Vol.
1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
$1,681,264 Vol.
1%
ドナルド・トランプ
$913,145 Vol.
1%
元首不在
$1,073,980 Vol.
1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
$5,071,532 Vol.
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
$2,339,239 Vol.
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
$666,331 Vol.
<1%
ダン・ケイン
$3,564,064 Vol.
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
$979,655 Vol.
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
$8,600,688 Vol.
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
$25,048,470 Vol.
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
$32,011,895 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, removed the long-serving president and installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim head of state via Supreme Tribunal action. Venezuela's National Assembly and armed forces have maintained institutional continuity under Chavista networks, while Rodríguez has pursued oil-sector reforms and renewed diplomatic ties with Washington. No presidential election date has been set for 2026, leaving open questions about the transition timeline and the role of opposition figures such as María Corina Machado. This fluid environment, with regime structures largely intact and no immediate vote scheduled, shapes trader assessments of who will hold power by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
音量
$88,133,508終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, removed the long-serving president and installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim head of state via Supreme Tribunal action. Venezuela's National Assembly and armed forces have maintained institutional continuity under Chavista networks, while Rodríguez has pursued oil-sector reforms and renewed diplomatic ties with Washington. No presidential election date has been set for 2026, leaving open questions about the transition timeline and the role of opposition figures such as María Corina Machado. This fluid environment, with regime structures largely intact and no immediate vote scheduled, shapes trader assessments of who will hold power by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
音量
$88,133,508終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, removed the long-serving president and installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim head of state via Supreme Tribunal action. Venezuela's National Assembly and armed forces have maintained institutional continuity under Chavista networks, while Rodríguez has pursued oil-sector reforms and renewed diplomatic ties with Washington. No presidential election date has been set for 2026, leaving open questions about the transition timeline and the role of opposition figures such as María Corina Machado. This fluid environment, with regime structures largely intact and no immediate vote scheduled, shapes trader assessments of who will hold power by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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