US forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, leading the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and armed forces to install Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting president while state institutions continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional head of state. This succession within the Chavista structure, combined with ongoing US-backed stabilization efforts under a three-phase plan emphasizing security before elections, underpins trader pricing that favors continuity through the end of 2026. June earthquakes further delayed reconciliation talks and institutional reforms, while opposition figures including Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remain in exile and no presidential vote has been scheduled. Market consensus thus reflects limited near-term prospects for opposition leadership or a vacancy absent rapid constitutional change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ニコラス・マドゥロ 82.1%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 10%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 2.6%
元首不在 <1%
$95,561,567 Vol.
$95,561,567 Vol.
2026/12/31
ニコラス・マドゥロ
82%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
10%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
3%
元首不在
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
<1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
<1%
ダン・ケイン
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ 82.1%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 10%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 2.6%
元首不在 <1%
$95,561,567 Vol.
$95,561,567 Vol.
2026/12/31
ニコラス・マドゥロ
$2,749,434 Vol.
82%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
$1,764,882 Vol.
10%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
$1,443,253 Vol.
3%
元首不在
$1,512,106 Vol.
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
$1,213,241 Vol.
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
$2,086,311 Vol.
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
$1,149,105 Vol.
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
$800,764 Vol.
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
$2,971,814 Vol.
<1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
$5,630,053 Vol.
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
$1,120,215 Vol.
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
$1,395,046 Vol.
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
$9,173,477 Vol.
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
$25,800,529 Vol.
<1%
ダン・ケイン
$4,113,079 Vol.
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
$32,638,258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, leading the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and armed forces to install Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting president while state institutions continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional head of state. This succession within the Chavista structure, combined with ongoing US-backed stabilization efforts under a three-phase plan emphasizing security before elections, underpins trader pricing that favors continuity through the end of 2026. June earthquakes further delayed reconciliation talks and institutional reforms, while opposition figures including Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remain in exile and no presidential vote has been scheduled. Market consensus thus reflects limited near-term prospects for opposition leadership or a vacancy absent rapid constitutional change.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
音量
$95,561,567終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, leading the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and armed forces to install Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting president while state institutions continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional head of state. This succession within the Chavista structure, combined with ongoing US-backed stabilization efforts under a three-phase plan emphasizing security before elections, underpins trader pricing that favors continuity through the end of 2026. June earthquakes further delayed reconciliation talks and institutional reforms, while opposition figures including Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remain in exile and no presidential vote has been scheduled. Market consensus thus reflects limited near-term prospects for opposition leadership or a vacancy absent rapid constitutional change.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
音量
$95,561,567終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, leading the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and armed forces to install Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting president while state institutions continue to recognize Maduro as the constitutional head of state. This succession within the Chavista structure, combined with ongoing US-backed stabilization efforts under a three-phase plan emphasizing security before elections, underpins trader pricing that favors continuity through the end of 2026. June earthquakes further delayed reconciliation talks and institutional reforms, while opposition figures including Edmundo González and María Corina Machado remain in exile and no presidential vote has been scheduled. Market consensus thus reflects limited near-term prospects for opposition leadership or a vacancy absent rapid constitutional change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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