US forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, on narco-terrorism charges and removed him to the United States for trial, after which the Supreme Tribunal installed Delcy Rodríguez as acting president. She has since pursued cooperation with Washington on oil revenues, prisoner releases, and security, while transition talks with opposition figures proceed under US facilitation. No multiparty elections have been scheduled for 2026, the ruling party apparatus remains largely intact, and opposition leaders stay in exile. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring continuity under Maduro-aligned leadership through year-end, with limited scope for rapid institutional overhaul or opposition takeover before the resolution window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ニコラス・マドゥロ 84.3%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 10%
元首不在 1.1%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 1.0%
$96,116,493 Vol.
$96,116,493 Vol.
ニコラス・マドゥロ
84%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
10%
元首不在
1%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
<1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
<1%
ダン・ケイン
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ 84.3%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 10%
元首不在 1.1%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 1.0%
$96,116,493 Vol.
$96,116,493 Vol.
ニコラス・マドゥロ
84%
デルシー・ロドリゲス
10%
元首不在
1%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
<1%
ディノラ・フィゲーラ
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
<1%
マルコ・ルビオ
<1%
ピート・ヘグセス
<1%
エヴァン・ペトゥス
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
<1%
ダン・ケイン
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
マーケット開始日: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, on narco-terrorism charges and removed him to the United States for trial, after which the Supreme Tribunal installed Delcy Rodríguez as acting president. She has since pursued cooperation with Washington on oil revenues, prisoner releases, and security, while transition talks with opposition figures proceed under US facilitation. No multiparty elections have been scheduled for 2026, the ruling party apparatus remains largely intact, and opposition leaders stay in exile. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring continuity under Maduro-aligned leadership through year-end, with limited scope for rapid institutional overhaul or opposition takeover before the resolution window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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