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icon for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

icon for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

12月 31

12月 31

10% 確率
Polymarket

$110,838 Vol.

10% 確率
Polymarket

$110,838 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Trump administration has prioritized engagement with acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, citing practical needs for oil-sector cooperation and regional stability amid high global energy prices. President Trump has repeatedly stated that opposition leader María Corina Machado lacks adequate domestic support or respect to lead, opting instead for phased stabilization under the current interim government rather than immediate recognition of Machado. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has echoed the need for sequential steps before any transition, while Machado—despite meetings with Trump and lawmakers—has focused on her planned return and presidential candidacy later in 2026. These policy choices and public positions have sustained trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$110,838
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Trump administration has prioritized engagement with acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, citing practical needs for oil-sector cooperation and regional stability amid high global energy prices. President Trump has repeatedly stated that opposition leader María Corina Machado lacks adequate domestic support or respect to lead, opting instead for phased stabilization under the current interim government rather than immediate recognition of Machado. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has echoed the need for sequential steps before any transition, while Machado—despite meetings with Trump and lawmakers—has focused on her planned return and presidential candidacy later in 2026. These policy choices and public positions have sustained trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$110,838
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して10%です。例えば、「はい」が10¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を10%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?」は$110.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して10%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を10%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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