Labour's landslide 2024 election majority of 174 seats in the House of Commons underpins trader consensus at 82.5% against a no-confidence vote targeting Prime Minister Keir Starmer by June 30, despite heightened pressure from recent dismal local election results sparking over 40 MPs to demand his resignation. The SNP announced May 13 it would table such a motion via parliamentary amendment unless Starmer quits, while Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch signaled readiness to collaborate with rebels; however, no motion has been formally scheduled, internal Labour divisions lack the scale for procedural disruption, and Starmer has secured cabinet backing amid warnings of party chaos from a leadership challenge. Absent a snap escalation or mass defection, conventions favor stability over an early vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,046 Vol.
$11,046 Vol.
2026/06/30
$11,046 Vol.
$11,046 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Labour's landslide 2024 election majority of 174 seats in the House of Commons underpins trader consensus at 82.5% against a no-confidence vote targeting Prime Minister Keir Starmer by June 30, despite heightened pressure from recent dismal local election results sparking over 40 MPs to demand his resignation. The SNP announced May 13 it would table such a motion via parliamentary amendment unless Starmer quits, while Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch signaled readiness to collaborate with rebels; however, no motion has been formally scheduled, internal Labour divisions lack the scale for procedural disruption, and Starmer has secured cabinet backing amid warnings of party chaos from a leadership challenge. Absent a snap escalation or mass defection, conventions favor stability over an early vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
音量
$11,046終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Labour's landslide 2024 election majority of 174 seats in the House of Commons underpins trader consensus at 82.5% against a no-confidence vote targeting Prime Minister Keir Starmer by June 30, despite heightened pressure from recent dismal local election results sparking over 40 MPs to demand his resignation. The SNP announced May 13 it would table such a motion via parliamentary amendment unless Starmer quits, while Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch signaled readiness to collaborate with rebels; however, no motion has been formally scheduled, internal Labour divisions lack the scale for procedural disruption, and Starmer has secured cabinet backing amid warnings of party chaos from a leadership challenge. Absent a snap escalation or mass defection, conventions favor stability over an early vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,046終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour's landslide 2024 election majority of 174 seats in the House of Commons underpins trader consensus at 82.5% against a no-confidence vote targeting Prime Minister Keir Starmer by June 30, despite heightened pressure from recent dismal local election results sparking over 40 MPs to demand his resignation. The SNP announced May 13 it would table such a motion via parliamentary amendment unless Starmer quits, while Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch signaled readiness to collaborate with rebels; however, no motion has been formally scheduled, internal Labour divisions lack the scale for procedural disruption, and Starmer has secured cabinet backing amid warnings of party chaos from a leadership challenge. Absent a snap escalation or mass defection, conventions favor stability over an early vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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