No new countries have formally recognized Israel since late 2025, amid stalled Abraham Accords expansions and heightened Middle East tensions from the ongoing Gaza conflict and cross-border exchanges with Lebanon. As of early 2026, Israel holds diplomatic recognition from 163 UN members, with key holdouts including Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Malaysia, and others conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood progress. Recent EU actions—such as Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia recognizing Palestine, alongside ambassador recalls and sanction threats—have cooled normalization prospects. Traders monitor potential US-brokered talks or Israeli election outcomes before June 30, though no breakthroughs or summits are scheduled, underscoring low implied probabilities for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$319,126 Vol.
北朝鮮
1%
キューバ
2%
サウジアラビア
3%
レバノン
4%
アフガニスタン
1%
イラク
2%
パキスタン
1%
シリア
3%
ベネズエラ
2%
チュニジア
4%
クウェート
2%
カタール
3%
インドネシア
1%
マレーシア
1%
バングラデシュ
3%
$319,126 Vol.
北朝鮮
1%
キューバ
2%
サウジアラビア
3%
レバノン
4%
アフガニスタン
1%
イラク
2%
パキスタン
1%
シリア
3%
ベネズエラ
2%
チュニジア
4%
クウェート
2%
カタール
3%
インドネシア
1%
マレーシア
1%
バングラデシュ
3%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No new countries have formally recognized Israel since late 2025, amid stalled Abraham Accords expansions and heightened Middle East tensions from the ongoing Gaza conflict and cross-border exchanges with Lebanon. As of early 2026, Israel holds diplomatic recognition from 163 UN members, with key holdouts including Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Malaysia, and others conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood progress. Recent EU actions—such as Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia recognizing Palestine, alongside ambassador recalls and sanction threats—have cooled normalization prospects. Traders monitor potential US-brokered talks or Israeli election outcomes before June 30, though no breakthroughs or summits are scheduled, underscoring low implied probabilities for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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