**Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12, 2026—the first since early April—which Israeli air defenses intercepted without sirens, signaling renewed escalation after a lull.** This follows their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel, paused post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with multiple claimed strikes coordinated alongside Iran and Hezbollah, prompting threats of "gradual escalation." Israel has refrained from direct retaliatory airstrikes on Yemen amid broader Iran-Israel conflict and US CENTCOM buildup, though historical responses to sustained Houthi threats suggest potential military action if attacks intensify. Traders monitor upcoming Houthi operations, Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals for shifts in this proxy front.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,729,504 Vol.
2026/05/31
5月31日
11%
6月30日
20%
$1,729,504 Vol.
5月31日
$114,126 Vol.
11%
6月30日
$462,396 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12, 2026—the first since early April—which Israeli air defenses intercepted without sirens, signaling renewed escalation after a lull.** This follows their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel, paused post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with multiple claimed strikes coordinated alongside Iran and Hezbollah, prompting threats of "gradual escalation." Israel has refrained from direct retaliatory airstrikes on Yemen amid broader Iran-Israel conflict and US CENTCOM buildup, though historical responses to sustained Houthi threats suggest potential military action if attacks intensify. Traders monitor upcoming Houthi operations, Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals for shifts in this proxy front.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
音量
$1,729,504終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12, 2026—the first since early April—which Israeli air defenses intercepted without sirens, signaling renewed escalation after a lull.** This follows their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel, paused post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with multiple claimed strikes coordinated alongside Iran and Hezbollah, prompting threats of "gradual escalation." Israel has refrained from direct retaliatory airstrikes on Yemen amid broader Iran-Israel conflict and US CENTCOM buildup, though historical responses to sustained Houthi threats suggest potential military action if attacks intensify. Traders monitor upcoming Houthi operations, Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals for shifts in this proxy front.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,729,504終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12, 2026—the first since early April—which Israeli air defenses intercepted without sirens, signaling renewed escalation after a lull.** This follows their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel, paused post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with multiple claimed strikes coordinated alongside Iran and Hezbollah, prompting threats of "gradual escalation." Israel has refrained from direct retaliatory airstrikes on Yemen amid broader Iran-Israel conflict and US CENTCOM buildup, though historical responses to sustained Houthi threats suggest potential military action if attacks intensify. Traders monitor upcoming Houthi operations, Red Sea disruptions, and diplomatic signals for shifts in this proxy front.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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