Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, show Iran resisting any permanent end to uranium enrichment despite proposals for temporary pauses of up to 15 or 20 years and limited stockpile dilution. Iranian officials have rejected core US demands for full suspension and facility dismantlement, instead conditioning further talks on sanctions relief and guarantees against future strikes while signaling readiness to raise enrichment levels to 90 percent if attacked. Recent statements from Tehran’s Atomic Energy Organization and parliament spokespersons emphasize continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, aligning with trader expectations that no binding agreement to cease all activities will occur by the June 30 deadline amid persistent gaps over verification and the highly enriched uranium stockpile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,381,106 Vol.
$1,381,106 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$1,381,106 Vol.
$1,381,106 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, show Iran resisting any permanent end to uranium enrichment despite proposals for temporary pauses of up to 15 or 20 years and limited stockpile dilution. Iranian officials have rejected core US demands for full suspension and facility dismantlement, instead conditioning further talks on sanctions relief and guarantees against future strikes while signaling readiness to raise enrichment levels to 90 percent if attacked. Recent statements from Tehran’s Atomic Energy Organization and parliament spokespersons emphasize continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, aligning with trader expectations that no binding agreement to cease all activities will occur by the June 30 deadline amid persistent gaps over verification and the highly enriched uranium stockpile.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
音量
$1,381,106終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, show Iran resisting any permanent end to uranium enrichment despite proposals for temporary pauses of up to 15 or 20 years and limited stockpile dilution. Iranian officials have rejected core US demands for full suspension and facility dismantlement, instead conditioning further talks on sanctions relief and guarantees against future strikes while signaling readiness to raise enrichment levels to 90 percent if attacked. Recent statements from Tehran’s Atomic Energy Organization and parliament spokespersons emphasize continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, aligning with trader expectations that no binding agreement to cease all activities will occur by the June 30 deadline amid persistent gaps over verification and the highly enriched uranium stockpile.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,381,106終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, show Iran resisting any permanent end to uranium enrichment despite proposals for temporary pauses of up to 15 or 20 years and limited stockpile dilution. Iranian officials have rejected core US demands for full suspension and facility dismantlement, instead conditioning further talks on sanctions relief and guarantees against future strikes while signaling readiness to raise enrichment levels to 90 percent if attacked. Recent statements from Tehran’s Atomic Energy Organization and parliament spokespersons emphasize continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, aligning with trader expectations that no binding agreement to cease all activities will occur by the June 30 deadline amid persistent gaps over verification and the highly enriched uranium stockpile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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