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icon for US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?

US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?

icon for US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?

US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$22,957 Vol.

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$22,957 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for US kamikaze dolphins confirmed by May 31, driven by the Pentagon's May 5 briefing where Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth neither confirmed nor denied US capabilities but explicitly stated Iran lacks them, amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. The US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains dolphins for mine detection and harbor defense, not suicide missions with explosives, as clarified in subsequent fact-checks and reporting. No official statements, leaks, or evidence have emerged in the nine days since, reinforcing skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from a whistleblower disclosure or Department of Defense admission before the deadline, though historical precedents favor non-disclosure on such programs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.

Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.

Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22,957
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for US kamikaze dolphins confirmed by May 31, driven by the Pentagon's May 5 briefing where Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth neither confirmed nor denied US capabilities but explicitly stated Iran lacks them, amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. The US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains dolphins for mine detection and harbor defense, not suicide missions with explosives, as clarified in subsequent fact-checks and reporting. No official statements, leaks, or evidence have emerged in the nine days since, reinforcing skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from a whistleblower disclosure or Department of Defense admission before the deadline, though historical precedents favor non-disclosure on such programs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.

Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.

Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22,957
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「米国のカミカゼ・イルカが5月31日までに確認される?」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?」は$23Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?」の現在のリーダーは「米国のカミカゼ・イルカが5月31日までに確認される?」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「US Kamikaze Dolphinsは5月31日までに確認されましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。