Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for US kamikaze dolphins confirmed by May 31, driven by the Pentagon's May 5 briefing where Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth neither confirmed nor denied US capabilities but explicitly stated Iran lacks them, amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. The US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains dolphins for mine detection and harbor defense, not suicide missions with explosives, as clarified in subsequent fact-checks and reporting. No official statements, leaks, or evidence have emerged in the nine days since, reinforcing skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from a whistleblower disclosure or Department of Defense admission before the deadline, though historical precedents favor non-disclosure on such programs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$22,957 Vol.
$22,957 Vol.
はい
$22,957 Vol.
$22,957 Vol.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for US kamikaze dolphins confirmed by May 31, driven by the Pentagon's May 5 briefing where Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth neither confirmed nor denied US capabilities but explicitly stated Iran lacks them, amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. The US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains dolphins for mine detection and harbor defense, not suicide missions with explosives, as clarified in subsequent fact-checks and reporting. No official statements, leaks, or evidence have emerged in the nine days since, reinforcing skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from a whistleblower disclosure or Department of Defense admission before the deadline, though historical precedents favor non-disclosure on such programs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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