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地政学·パキスタン

トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？

icon for トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？
地政学·パキスタン

トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？

$584,560 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$584,560 Vol.

Polymarket

5月31日

$133,702 Vol.

3%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by April 30 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Pakistan's mediation role in US-Iran ceasefire negotiations has elevated its diplomatic standing, with President Trump praising Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Chief of Army Staff Asim Munir in mid-April for facilitating talks. Trump then floated the possibility of visiting Islamabad personally to seal a deal, though plans for US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were repeatedly canceled amid Iranian hesitancy. Last week, Defence Minister Khawaja Asif claimed a brief two-hour stopover at Nur Khan Air Base en route to Trump's ongoing China summit (May 13-15 with Xi Jinping), but Trump arrived directly in Beijing with no such detour confirmed. Absent major breakthroughs in Iran diplomacy or bilateral priorities, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds on a visit.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$584,560
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by April 30 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Pakistan's mediation role in US-Iran ceasefire negotiations has elevated its diplomatic standing, with President Trump praising Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Chief of Army Staff Asim Munir in mid-April for facilitating talks. Trump then floated the possibility of visiting Islamabad personally to seal a deal, though plans for US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were repeatedly canceled amid Iranian hesitancy. Last week, Defence Minister Khawaja Asif claimed a brief two-hour stopover at Nur Khan Air Base en route to Trump's ongoing China summit (May 13-15 with Xi Jinping), but Trump arrived directly in Beijing with no such detour confirmed. Absent major breakthroughs in Iran diplomacy or bilateral priorities, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds on a visit.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$584,560
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5月31日」で3%、次いで「4月30日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、3¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に3%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？」は$584.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？」の現在のリーダーは「5月31日」でわずか3%、「4月30日」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は...までにパキスタンを訪問する予定ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。