Amid stalled U.S.-Iran talks on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and nuclear constraints, trader sentiment centers on U.S. figures with direct roles in recent mediation. Pakistan-hosted indirect sessions in April involved envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, who lead the market ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance. President Trump’s May 13-15 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping explored Chinese brokerage options, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on May 15 that deeper U.S. commitments are required given past tensions. Follow-up rounds in Pakistan or Oman remain possible before the May 31 deadline, though no direct high-level contacts have taken place and mutual distrust continues to shape the uncertain outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$81,368 Vol.
2026/05/31
Steve Witkoff
22%
Jared Kushner
21%
J.D. Vance
12%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
3%
$81,368 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$19,925 Vol.
22%
Jared Kushner
$22,696 Vol.
21%
J.D. Vance
$23,676 Vol.
12%
Marco Rubio
$5,680 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump
$9,392 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid stalled U.S.-Iran talks on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and nuclear constraints, trader sentiment centers on U.S. figures with direct roles in recent mediation. Pakistan-hosted indirect sessions in April involved envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, who lead the market ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance. President Trump’s May 13-15 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping explored Chinese brokerage options, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on May 15 that deeper U.S. commitments are required given past tensions. Follow-up rounds in Pakistan or Oman remain possible before the May 31 deadline, though no direct high-level contacts have taken place and mutual distrust continues to shape the uncertain outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
音量
$81,368終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid stalled U.S.-Iran talks on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and nuclear constraints, trader sentiment centers on U.S. figures with direct roles in recent mediation. Pakistan-hosted indirect sessions in April involved envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, who lead the market ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance. President Trump’s May 13-15 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping explored Chinese brokerage options, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on May 15 that deeper U.S. commitments are required given past tensions. Follow-up rounds in Pakistan or Oman remain possible before the May 31 deadline, though no direct high-level contacts have taken place and mutual distrust continues to shape the uncertain outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$81,368終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid stalled U.S.-Iran talks on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and nuclear constraints, trader sentiment centers on U.S. figures with direct roles in recent mediation. Pakistan-hosted indirect sessions in April involved envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, who lead the market ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance. President Trump’s May 13-15 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping explored Chinese brokerage options, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on May 15 that deeper U.S. commitments are required given past tensions. Follow-up rounds in Pakistan or Oman remain possible before the May 31 deadline, though no direct high-level contacts have taken place and mutual distrust continues to shape the uncertain outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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