With only two weeks left before the May 31 deadline, congressional leaders have advanced no legislation granting the president expanded war powers against Iran. Lawmakers remain focused on domestic appropriations and other priorities, with no formal committee markup or floor vote scheduled. Partisan divisions and the absence of an acute military crisis have kept momentum low. Traders assign a 95.6 percent probability that the resolution will not pass. A sudden escalation involving direct attacks on U.S. forces or a formal presidential request could still prompt rapid consideration, though both would require broad bipartisan support to clear procedural hurdles in the limited time remaining.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/05/31
新規
新規
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.With only two weeks left before the May 31 deadline, congressional leaders have advanced no legislation granting the president expanded war powers against Iran. Lawmakers remain focused on domestic appropriations and other priorities, with no formal committee markup or floor vote scheduled. Partisan divisions and the absence of an acute military crisis have kept momentum low. Traders assign a 95.6 percent probability that the resolution will not pass. A sudden escalation involving direct attacks on U.S. forces or a formal presidential request could still prompt rapid consideration, though both would require broad bipartisan support to clear procedural hurdles in the limited time remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$2,544終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.With only two weeks left before the May 31 deadline, congressional leaders have advanced no legislation granting the president expanded war powers against Iran. Lawmakers remain focused on domestic appropriations and other priorities, with no formal committee markup or floor vote scheduled. Partisan divisions and the absence of an acute military crisis have kept momentum low. Traders assign a 95.6 percent probability that the resolution will not pass. A sudden escalation involving direct attacks on U.S. forces or a formal presidential request could still prompt rapid consideration, though both would require broad bipartisan support to clear procedural hurdles in the limited time remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,544終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With only two weeks left before the May 31 deadline, congressional leaders have advanced no legislation granting the president expanded war powers against Iran. Lawmakers remain focused on domestic appropriations and other priorities, with no formal committee markup or floor vote scheduled. Partisan divisions and the absence of an acute military crisis have kept momentum low. Traders assign a 95.6 percent probability that the resolution will not pass. A sudden escalation involving direct attacks on U.S. forces or a formal presidential request could still prompt rapid consideration, though both would require broad bipartisan support to clear procedural hurdles in the limited time remaining.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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