The elevated probability traders assign to no further use of the phrase by the May 31 deadline reflects its absence from President Trump’s public statements since mid-April, despite continued U.S.-Iran tensions. The expression appeared in two Truth Social posts during early April escalation over the Strait of Hormuz, framed as provocative commentary on military setbacks rather than outreach. Recent diplomatic messaging, including the May 10 rejection of Iran’s counterproposal to a U.S. peace plan, has relied on standard policy language without repeating the specific invocation. With no scheduled events or shifts in rhetoric indicating a return to that style before the deadline, market pricing aligns with the pattern of isolated prior instances and a preference for alternative messaging in the ongoing standoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,218 Vol.
$38,218 Vol.
$38,218 Vol.
$38,218 Vol.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated probability traders assign to no further use of the phrase by the May 31 deadline reflects its absence from President Trump’s public statements since mid-April, despite continued U.S.-Iran tensions. The expression appeared in two Truth Social posts during early April escalation over the Strait of Hormuz, framed as provocative commentary on military setbacks rather than outreach. Recent diplomatic messaging, including the May 10 rejection of Iran’s counterproposal to a U.S. peace plan, has relied on standard policy language without repeating the specific invocation. With no scheduled events or shifts in rhetoric indicating a return to that style before the deadline, market pricing aligns with the pattern of isolated prior instances and a preference for alternative messaging in the ongoing standoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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