Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in July 2024 following Ebrahim Raisi’s death, serves a standard four-year term extending into 2028. The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 and the subsequent March Assembly of Experts vote for his successor created leadership transition pressures but did not alter presidential term rules or trigger an early vote. Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian responses, have strained the economy and security environment without producing public announcements or procedural steps toward a snap presidential election. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an election occurring by December 31, 2026, consistent with the absence of constitutional requirements or visible political momentum for advancing the next scheduled contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$767,367 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
6%
$767,367 Vol.
12月31日
$153 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in July 2024 following Ebrahim Raisi’s death, serves a standard four-year term extending into 2028. The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 and the subsequent March Assembly of Experts vote for his successor created leadership transition pressures but did not alter presidential term rules or trigger an early vote. Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian responses, have strained the economy and security environment without producing public announcements or procedural steps toward a snap presidential election. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an election occurring by December 31, 2026, consistent with the absence of constitutional requirements or visible political momentum for advancing the next scheduled contest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
音量
$767,367終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in July 2024 following Ebrahim Raisi’s death, serves a standard four-year term extending into 2028. The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 and the subsequent March Assembly of Experts vote for his successor created leadership transition pressures but did not alter presidential term rules or trigger an early vote. Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian responses, have strained the economy and security environment without producing public announcements or procedural steps toward a snap presidential election. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an election occurring by December 31, 2026, consistent with the absence of constitutional requirements or visible political momentum for advancing the next scheduled contest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$767,367終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in July 2024 following Ebrahim Raisi’s death, serves a standard four-year term extending into 2028. The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 and the subsequent March Assembly of Experts vote for his successor created leadership transition pressures but did not alter presidential term rules or trigger an early vote. Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian responses, have strained the economy and security environment without producing public announcements or procedural steps toward a snap presidential election. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an election occurring by December 31, 2026, consistent with the absence of constitutional requirements or visible political momentum for advancing the next scheduled contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問