Israeli forces advanced beyond Lebanon's Litani River in late May 2026, capturing strategic sites including Beaufort Castle and issuing expanded evacuation orders toward the Zahrani River amid operations against Hezbollah. This followed earlier 2026 fighting and partial ceasefires from April onward, which aimed to implement UN Resolution 1701 provisions for Hezbollah's withdrawal north of the river and Israeli pullback. US-mediated talks in early June produced agreements on "pilot zones" for Lebanese Armed Forces control south of the Litani, excluding non-state actors, though Hezbollah rejected terms demanding full Israeli withdrawal first. Israel has cited ongoing threats to northern communities as justification for maintaining positions, while Lebanese officials and mediators push simultaneous or phased redeployments. Trader assessments of any withdrawal deadline hinge on whether these talks produce verifiable implementation before further escalation or diplomatic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,344 Vol.
6月15日
3%
6月30日
13%
$12,344 Vol.
6月15日
3%
6月30日
13%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces advanced beyond Lebanon's Litani River in late May 2026, capturing strategic sites including Beaufort Castle and issuing expanded evacuation orders toward the Zahrani River amid operations against Hezbollah. This followed earlier 2026 fighting and partial ceasefires from April onward, which aimed to implement UN Resolution 1701 provisions for Hezbollah's withdrawal north of the river and Israeli pullback. US-mediated talks in early June produced agreements on "pilot zones" for Lebanese Armed Forces control south of the Litani, excluding non-state actors, though Hezbollah rejected terms demanding full Israeli withdrawal first. Israel has cited ongoing threats to northern communities as justification for maintaining positions, while Lebanese officials and mediators push simultaneous or phased redeployments. Trader assessments of any withdrawal deadline hinge on whether these talks produce verifiable implementation before further escalation or diplomatic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問