Iran's consistent rejection of permanent limits on uranium enrichment remains the central barrier, as Tehran views the activity as an inalienable right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and has repeatedly rebuffed U.S. demands for zero or indefinite cessation during Oman-mediated talks. Recent developments through early June 2026, including Iran's rejection of a U.S. proposal and insistence on preconditions such as immediate sanctions relief plus linkage to a Lebanon ceasefire, have further stalled progress toward any binding commitment. With negotiations suspended and no verified movement on core enrichment issues, traders assess minimal chance of an agreement materializing by the July 31 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,809 Vol.
$19,809 Vol.
2026/07/31
$19,809 Vol.
$19,809 Vol.
2026/07/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's consistent rejection of permanent limits on uranium enrichment remains the central barrier, as Tehran views the activity as an inalienable right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and has repeatedly rebuffed U.S. demands for zero or indefinite cessation during Oman-mediated talks. Recent developments through early June 2026, including Iran's rejection of a U.S. proposal and insistence on preconditions such as immediate sanctions relief plus linkage to a Lebanon ceasefire, have further stalled progress toward any binding commitment. With negotiations suspended and no verified movement on core enrichment issues, traders assess minimal chance of an agreement materializing by the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
音量
$19,809終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's consistent rejection of permanent limits on uranium enrichment remains the central barrier, as Tehran views the activity as an inalienable right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and has repeatedly rebuffed U.S. demands for zero or indefinite cessation during Oman-mediated talks. Recent developments through early June 2026, including Iran's rejection of a U.S. proposal and insistence on preconditions such as immediate sanctions relief plus linkage to a Lebanon ceasefire, have further stalled progress toward any binding commitment. With negotiations suspended and no verified movement on core enrichment issues, traders assess minimal chance of an agreement materializing by the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$19,809終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's consistent rejection of permanent limits on uranium enrichment remains the central barrier, as Tehran views the activity as an inalienable right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and has repeatedly rebuffed U.S. demands for zero or indefinite cessation during Oman-mediated talks. Recent developments through early June 2026, including Iran's rejection of a U.S. proposal and insistence on preconditions such as immediate sanctions relief plus linkage to a Lebanon ceasefire, have further stalled progress toward any binding commitment. With negotiations suspended and no verified movement on core enrichment issues, traders assess minimal chance of an agreement materializing by the July 31 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問