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icon for フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？
地政学·オイル

フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？

icon for フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？
地政学·オイル

フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？

Ended: 8月 31

Ended: 8月 31

$276,135 Vol.

2026/07/24
Polymarket

$276,135 Vol.

Polymarket

July 24

$9,613 Vol.

Yes

July 25

$1,934 Vol.

No

July 26

$9,536 Vol.

No

July 27

$1,435 Vol.

No

July 28

$6,945 Vol.

No

July 29

$1,859 Vol.

No

7月30日

$2,730 Vol.

いいえ

7月31日

$2,355 Vol.

いいえ

8月1日

$2,562 Vol.

いいえ

8月2日

$2,754 Vol.

いいえ

8月3日

$4,060 Vol.

いいえ

8月4日

$4,544 Vol.

はい

8月5日

$97,178 Vol.

いいえ

8月6日

$3,323 Vol.

いいえ

8月7日

$1,915 Vol.

いいえ

8月8日

$15,269 Vol.

いいえ

8月9日

$7,108 Vol.

いいえ

8月10日

$2,398 Vol.

いいえ

8月11日

$10,681 Vol.

はい

8月12日

$2,505 Vol.

いいえ

8月13日

$1,215 Vol.

いいえ

8月14日

$6,420 Vol.

いいえ

8月15日

$6,523 Vol.

いいえ

8月16日

$3,529 Vol.

いいえ

8月17日

$15,828 Vol.

はい

8月18日

$2,842 Vol.

いいえ

8月19日

$3,213 Vol.

いいえ

8月20日

$4,112 Vol.

いいえ

8月21日

$6,407 Vol.

いいえ

8月22日

$433 Vol.

いいえ

8月23日

$2,566 Vol.

いいえ

8月24日

$6,425 Vol.

はい

8月25日

$5,124 Vol.

いいえ

8月26日

$1,920 Vol.

いいえ

8月27日

$2,432 Vol.

いいえ

8月28日

$3,013 Vol.

いいえ

8月29日

$6,347 Vol.

いいえ

8月30日

$2,618 Vol.

いいえ

8月31日

$4,463 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
音量
$276,135
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
音量
$276,135
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

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よくある質問

「フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？」はPolymarket上の39個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「July 24」で100%、次いで「8月4日」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？」は$276.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている39個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「July 24」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8月4日」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「フーシ派が船をターゲットにしたのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。