Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon advanced past the Litani River in late May 2026 toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported on the outskirts of Choukine amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. Trader consensus on entry timelines reflects these front-line shifts, the distinction between airstrikes and verified ground presence, and risks of renewed clashes or delays in full disengagement. Scheduled diplomatic steps and any Hezbollah violations remain key variables for probability assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$169,548 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
2%
$169,548 Vol.
9月30日
$3,022 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon advanced past the Litani River in late May 2026 toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported on the outskirts of Choukine amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. Trader consensus on entry timelines reflects these front-line shifts, the distinction between airstrikes and verified ground presence, and risks of renewed clashes or delays in full disengagement. Scheduled diplomatic steps and any Hezbollah violations remain key variables for probability assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
音量
$169,548終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon advanced past the Litani River in late May 2026 toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported on the outskirts of Choukine amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. Trader consensus on entry timelines reflects these front-line shifts, the distinction between airstrikes and verified ground presence, and risks of renewed clashes or delays in full disengagement. Scheduled diplomatic steps and any Hezbollah violations remain key variables for probability assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$169,548終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon advanced past the Litani River in late May 2026 toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported on the outskirts of Choukine amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. Trader consensus on entry timelines reflects these front-line shifts, the distinction between airstrikes and verified ground presence, and risks of renewed clashes or delays in full disengagement. Scheduled diplomatic steps and any Hezbollah violations remain key variables for probability assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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