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icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

12月 31

12月 31

11% 確率
Polymarket

$63,742 Vol.

11% 確率
Polymarket

$63,742 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria’s transitional president, appointed in January 2025 for a five-year mandate under the constitutional declaration, with no verified developments indicating removal by the end of 2026.** Recent actions reinforcing stability include a May 2026 cabinet and administrative reshuffle addressing internal criticism, plus security operations dismantling Hezbollah-linked cells. International sanctions on al-Sharaa and HTS were lifted in late 2025, followed by high-level diplomacy including a White House meeting with President Trump and engagement with Arab states and Turkey. These steps reflect consolidated authority and external backing, while ongoing efforts to integrate factions like the SDF and manage sectarian tensions have not produced leadership challenges capable of altering the transition timeline. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” aligns with the absence of credible ouster signals within the structured interim framework.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$63,742
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria’s transitional president, appointed in January 2025 for a five-year mandate under the constitutional declaration, with no verified developments indicating removal by the end of 2026.** Recent actions reinforcing stability include a May 2026 cabinet and administrative reshuffle addressing internal criticism, plus security operations dismantling Hezbollah-linked cells. International sanctions on al-Sharaa and HTS were lifted in late 2025, followed by high-level diplomacy including a White House meeting with President Trump and engagement with Arab states and Turkey. These steps reflect consolidated authority and external backing, while ongoing efforts to integrate factions like the SDF and manage sectarian tensions have not produced leadership challenges capable of altering the transition timeline. Trader consensus at 87.5% for “No” aligns with the absence of credible ouster signals within the structured interim framework.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$63,742
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して11%です。例えば、「はい」が11¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を11%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?」は$63.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して11%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を11%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。