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icon for アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?

アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?

icon for アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?

アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

13% 確率
Polymarket

$56,649 Vol.

はい

13% 確率
Polymarket

$56,649 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated power as Syria’s president since his January 2025 appointment following the fall of the Assad regime, securing diplomatic engagement with the United States and other governments through high-level meetings and removal from terrorism designations. Recent developments include multiple foiled ISIS assassination plots against him and senior ministers, alongside efforts to form a transitional legislature and unify armed factions under central authority. These steps, combined with a decline in overall violence through 2025 and into 2026, have reinforced trader assessments that institutional and international backing will sustain his leadership through the end of the year. Domestic sectarian tensions and economic pressures persist but have not produced viable challenges capable of displacing him by the December 31, 2026 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$56,649
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated power as Syria’s president since his January 2025 appointment following the fall of the Assad regime, securing diplomatic engagement with the United States and other governments through high-level meetings and removal from terrorism designations. Recent developments include multiple foiled ISIS assassination plots against him and senior ministers, alongside efforts to form a transitional legislature and unify armed factions under central authority. These steps, combined with a decline in overall violence through 2025 and into 2026, have reinforced trader assessments that institutional and international backing will sustain his leadership through the end of the year. Domestic sectarian tensions and economic pressures persist but have not produced viable challenges capable of displacing him by the December 31, 2026 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$56,649
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アフメド・シャラーは2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者を退任するか?」で13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、13¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に13%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?」は$56.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?」の現在のフロントランナーは「アフメド・シャラーは2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者を退任するか?」で13%であり、市場がこの結果に13%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。