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財務·オイル

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?
財務·オイル

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

5月 31

5月 31

$139,585 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$139,585 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$21,290 Vol.

18%

↑ $4.70

$11,298 Vol.

46%

↑ $4.60

$11,504 Vol.

71%

↓ $4.25

$2,464 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.20

$1,860 Vol.

16%

↓ $4.10

$774 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.00

$884 Vol.

10%

↓ $3.75

$1,486 Vol.

4%

↓ $3.50

$6,945 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Surging Brent crude to $109/bbl amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict and U.S. refinery bottlenecks have propelled AAA national average regular gasoline to $4.53/gallon as of May 14—up 44% year-over-year and 60% year-to-date. EIA's May 13 Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending May 8 showed gasoline inventories plunging 4.1 million barrels to critically low levels, despite refinery utilization at 91.7% and inputs rising to 16.4 million barrels per day. Polymarket trader consensus prices in elevated risk of further spikes by May 31 resolution, driven by Memorial Day (May 25) demand surge and next EIA report on May 20 tracking fresh inventory draws.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$139,585
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Surging Brent crude to $109/bbl amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict and U.S. refinery bottlenecks have propelled AAA national average regular gasoline to $4.53/gallon as of May 14—up 44% year-over-year and 60% year-to-date. EIA's May 13 Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending May 8 showed gasoline inventories plunging 4.1 million barrels to critically low levels, despite refinery utilization at 91.7% and inputs rising to 16.4 million barrels per day. Polymarket trader consensus prices in elevated risk of further spikes by May 31 resolution, driven by Memorial Day (May 25) demand surge and next EIA report on May 20 tracking fresh inventory draws.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$139,585
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will gas hit __ by end of May?」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ $4.50」で100%、次いで「↑ $4.45」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will gas hit __ by end of May?」は$139.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will gas hit __ by end of May?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will gas hit __ by end of May?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ $4.50」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ $4.45」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will gas hit __ by end of May?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。