Rising gasoline prices, up sharply since U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran began in February 2026, have driven multiple proposals to suspend the 18.4-cent federal excise tax. President Trump endorsed a temporary pause in May 2026, while bipartisan legislation including the Gas Prices Relief Act (S. 4032) and S. 4485 seeks suspensions through October or for at least 90 days. These bills remain in Senate Finance and House committees with no floor votes scheduled. Passage would require offsetting transfers to protect the Highway Trust Fund, amid competing fiscal priorities and ongoing energy market volatility tied to the conflict. No federal suspension has occurred historically, and trader assessments reflect uncertainty over congressional timing before any resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,988 Vol.
November 2
20%
$31,988 Vol.
November 2
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rising gasoline prices, up sharply since U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran began in February 2026, have driven multiple proposals to suspend the 18.4-cent federal excise tax. President Trump endorsed a temporary pause in May 2026, while bipartisan legislation including the Gas Prices Relief Act (S. 4032) and S. 4485 seeks suspensions through October or for at least 90 days. These bills remain in Senate Finance and House committees with no floor votes scheduled. Passage would require offsetting transfers to protect the Highway Trust Fund, amid competing fiscal priorities and ongoing energy market volatility tied to the conflict. No federal suspension has occurred historically, and trader assessments reflect uncertainty over congressional timing before any resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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