Trump has repeatedly used the phrase “Praise be to Allah” in Truth Social posts during spring and summer 2026 escalations with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. strikes, and blockade enforcement, often paired with threats against Tehran. Those episodes peaked in April, June, and early July amid active military and diplomatic friction. Since mid-July, no comparable public statements or renewed direct clashes have occurred, reducing near-term catalysts for repetition. With roughly two weeks remaining until the August 31 cutoff and tensions appearing contained, trader consensus assigns the “No” outcome a 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the view that the specific conditions prompting the rhetoric have not resurfaced.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
はい
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has repeatedly used the phrase “Praise be to Allah” in Truth Social posts during spring and summer 2026 escalations with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. strikes, and blockade enforcement, often paired with threats against Tehran. Those episodes peaked in April, June, and early July amid active military and diplomatic friction. Since mid-July, no comparable public statements or renewed direct clashes have occurred, reducing near-term catalysts for repetition. With roughly two weeks remaining until the August 31 cutoff and tensions appearing contained, trader consensus assigns the “No” outcome a 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the view that the specific conditions prompting the rhetoric have not resurfaced.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問