**Democratic candidates secured seven of Colorado’s eight U.S. House seats in the November 3, 2026, election, driving the near-certain 7+ outcome in the market.** Official tallies show flips in Districts 4, 5, and 8—where challengers defeated Republican incumbents Lauren Boebert, Jeff Crank, and Gabe Evans—alongside a hold in the open District 1. The remaining Democratic-held seats stayed in party hands, leaving only District 3 with Republican Jeff Hurd. These results reflect vote margins confirmed at 99% reporting across districts, with the closest contest (District 4) decided by roughly 3,500 votes. Trader consensus aligns with these certified counts. The slim 0.1% probability for exactly six seats would require a successful recount or legal reversal in one of the flipped districts, an outcome that remains improbable given current margins and historical patterns for finalizing congressional results in Colorado.
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