Republican control of the House of Representatives, with a narrow majority as of May 2026 despite recent vacancies and one GOP member turning independent, has repeatedly blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including those tabled by votes in December 2025 and April 2026 from Reps. Al Green and John Larson. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated in late April that impeachment is not a top priority even if Democrats regain the majority. Absent major scandals or GOP defections, traders price an 87% "No" probability, reflecting low risk through December 31, 2026, as the 119th Congress ends January 3, 2027—post-midterm elections on November 3—limiting any Democratic flip's impact within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
2026/12/31
4%を獲得
はい
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
2026/12/31
4%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House of Representatives, with a narrow majority as of May 2026 despite recent vacancies and one GOP member turning independent, has repeatedly blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including those tabled by votes in December 2025 and April 2026 from Reps. Al Green and John Larson. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated in late April that impeachment is not a top priority even if Democrats regain the majority. Absent major scandals or GOP defections, traders price an 87% "No" probability, reflecting low risk through December 31, 2026, as the 119th Congress ends January 3, 2027—post-midterm elections on November 3—limiting any Democratic flip's impact within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
音量
$709,151終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House of Representatives, with a narrow majority as of May 2026 despite recent vacancies and one GOP member turning independent, has repeatedly blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including those tabled by votes in December 2025 and April 2026 from Reps. Al Green and John Larson. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated in late April that impeachment is not a top priority even if Democrats regain the majority. Absent major scandals or GOP defections, traders price an 87% "No" probability, reflecting low risk through December 31, 2026, as the 119th Congress ends January 3, 2027—post-midterm elections on November 3—limiting any Democratic flip's impact within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$709,151終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House of Representatives, with a narrow majority as of May 2026 despite recent vacancies and one GOP member turning independent, has repeatedly blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions, including those tabled by votes in December 2025 and April 2026 from Reps. Al Green and John Larson. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated in late April that impeachment is not a top priority even if Democrats regain the majority. Absent major scandals or GOP defections, traders price an 87% "No" probability, reflecting low risk through December 31, 2026, as the 119th Congress ends January 3, 2027—post-midterm elections on November 3—limiting any Democratic flip's impact within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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