Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
62% 確率
$89,034 Vol.
$89,034 Vol.
2029/01/20
はい
62% 確率
$89,034 Vol.
$89,034 Vol.
2029/01/20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$89,034終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$89,034終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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