Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s to upper 30s as of mid-August 2026, with consistent readings near 37-39 percent across aggregators. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this narrow band and limited movement in the final days before the August 21 measurement. Mid-July resumption of strikes on Iran and the resulting cycle of escalation have weighed on sentiment, widening partisan gaps and contributing to net approval at or near record lows for the term. Fresh survey releases or any late diplomatic signals in the resolution window remain the primary variables that could shift the final published figure within the leading buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0〜38.4 36%
37.5～37.9 32%
38.5〜38.9 22%
37.0〜37.4 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
＜37.0
6%
37.0〜37.4
8%
37.5～37.9
32%
38.0〜38.4
36%
38.5〜38.9
22%
39.0以上
5%
38.0〜38.4 36%
37.5～37.9 32%
38.5〜38.9 22%
37.0〜37.4 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
＜37.0
$223 Vol.
6%
37.0〜37.4
$113 Vol.
8%
37.5～37.9
$451 Vol.
32%
38.0〜38.4
$302 Vol.
36%
38.5〜38.9
$197 Vol.
22%
39.0以上
$174 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s to upper 30s as of mid-August 2026, with consistent readings near 37-39 percent across aggregators. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this narrow band and limited movement in the final days before the August 21 measurement. Mid-July resumption of strikes on Iran and the resulting cycle of escalation have weighed on sentiment, widening partisan gaps and contributing to net approval at or near record lows for the term. Fresh survey releases or any late diplomatic signals in the resolution window remain the primary variables that could shift the final published figure within the leading buckets.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$1,459終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s to upper 30s as of mid-August 2026, with consistent readings near 37-39 percent across aggregators. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this narrow band and limited movement in the final days before the August 21 measurement. Mid-July resumption of strikes on Iran and the resulting cycle of escalation have weighed on sentiment, widening partisan gaps and contributing to net approval at or near record lows for the term. Fresh survey releases or any late diplomatic signals in the resolution window remain the primary variables that could shift the final published figure within the leading buckets.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$1,459終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s to upper 30s as of mid-August 2026, with consistent readings near 37-39 percent across aggregators. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this narrow band and limited movement in the final days before the August 21 measurement. Mid-July resumption of strikes on Iran and the resulting cycle of escalation have weighed on sentiment, widening partisan gaps and contributing to net approval at or near record lows for the term. Fresh survey releases or any late diplomatic signals in the resolution window remain the primary variables that could shift the final published figure within the leading buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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