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icon for トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?

トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?

icon for トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?

トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?

新規
2026/08/31
Polymarket

$397 Vol.

Polymarket
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump, in his second term, maintains close public ties with select international leaders and domestic allies whose positions align with his foreign policy priorities, including Hungary's Viktor Orbán, whom he has repeatedly endorsed and praised in prior months for shared stances on migration, sovereignty, and relations with Russia. Recent Cabinet discussions on Iran, Ukraine aid, and Senate confirmations highlight ongoing diplomatic maneuvering that could prompt favorable mentions of figures advancing U.S. interests or personal rapport. Elon Musk's role in administration efficiency efforts and prior joint appearances with Orbán also position him as a frequent subject of positive commentary. Traders focus on patterns from Trump's past statements, scheduled August events like policy addresses, and any shifts in bilateral relations or endorsements that typically precede public praise. Resolution depends on verifiable transcripts or recordings of Trump's remarks through the end of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
音量
$397
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump, in his second term, maintains close public ties with select international leaders and domestic allies whose positions align with his foreign policy priorities, including Hungary's Viktor Orbán, whom he has repeatedly endorsed and praised in prior months for shared stances on migration, sovereignty, and relations with Russia. Recent Cabinet discussions on Iran, Ukraine aid, and Senate confirmations highlight ongoing diplomatic maneuvering that could prompt favorable mentions of figures advancing U.S. interests or personal rapport. Elon Musk's role in administration efficiency efforts and prior joint appearances with Orbán also position him as a frequent subject of positive commentary. Traders focus on patterns from Trump's past statements, scheduled August events like policy addresses, and any shifts in bilateral relations or endorsements that typically precede public praise. Resolution depends on verifiable transcripts or recordings of Trump's remarks through the end of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
音量
$397
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?」はPolymarket上の21個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」で85%、次いで「ゾーラン・マムダニ」が76%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている21個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ゾーラン・マムダニ」で76%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏は8月に誰を公に賞賛するだろうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。