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icon for トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?

トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?

icon for トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?

トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?

アリーナ・ハバ 95%

トッド・ブランチ 65%

エリック・シュミット 51%

リー・ゼルディン 49%

Polymarket
新規

アリーナ・ハバ 95%

トッド・ブランチ 65%

エリック・シュミット 51%

リー・ゼルディン 49%

Polymarket
新規

アリーナ・ハバ

$0 Vol.

95%

トッド・ブランチ

$0 Vol.

65%

エリック・シュミット

$0 Vol.

51%

リー・ゼルディン

$0 Vol.

49%

ジェフ・クラーク

$0 Vol.

49%

ロン・デサンティス

$0 Vol.

49%

マイク・リー

$0 Vol.

49%

ハーミート・ディロン

$0 Vol.

49%

アンドリュー・ベイリー

$0 Vol.

49%

ジャニーン・ピロ

$0 Vol.

45%

テッド・クルーズ

$0 Vol.

33%

シドニー・パウエル

$0 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader sentiment as the frontrunner for Attorney General due to his role as acting head since April 2026 and President Trump’s formal nomination in early June. Senate Judiciary Committee hearings occurred in mid-July, yet the confirmation vote has been delayed amid concerns from Republican senators over Justice Department actions and demands for additional information. This procedural uncertainty keeps implied probabilities from rising further despite Blanche’s institutional position. Other named candidates remain clustered near even odds, reflecting limited movement toward alternatives while the nomination process remains active but unresolved. Upcoming committee actions and any holds will likely determine whether the acting attorney general secures permanent confirmation or prompts renewed speculation about replacements.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2029/01/19
マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader sentiment as the frontrunner for Attorney General due to his role as acting head since April 2026 and President Trump’s formal nomination in early June. Senate Judiciary Committee hearings occurred in mid-July, yet the confirmation vote has been delayed amid concerns from Republican senators over Justice Department actions and demands for additional information. This procedural uncertainty keeps implied probabilities from rising further despite Blanche’s institutional position. Other named candidates remain clustered near even odds, reflecting limited movement toward alternatives while the nomination process remains active but unresolved. Upcoming committee actions and any holds will likely determine whether the acting attorney general secures permanent confirmation or prompts renewed speculation about replacements.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2029/01/19
マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トッド・ブランチ」で65%、次いで「エリック・シュミット」が51%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、65¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に65%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「トッド・ブランチ」で65%であり、市場がこの結果に65%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エリック・シュミット」で51%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏の次期司法長官は誰になるのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。