The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
$99,105 Vol.
$99,105 Vol.
2026/12/31
$99,105 Vol.
$99,105 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
音量
$99,105終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$99,105終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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