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icon for アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?

アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?

icon for アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?

アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?

はい

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices UAE departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) at just 8% for 2026, reflecting strong official commitments to the alliance despite recent strains. The UAE's abrupt OPEC exit on April 28, effective May 1—amid frustrations over oil quotas and perceived lack of GCC solidarity during Iranian missile strikes on Fujairah—sparked speculation of broader multilateral reviews, but presidential advisor Anwar Gargash explicitly ruled out further withdrawals. Ongoing cooperation persists via joint military drills like Gulf Shield 2026, EU-GCC foreign ministers' meetings in March, and UAE pushes for deeper trade integration announced May 1, with Abu Dhabi set to assume GCC presidency later this year. Absent concrete exit signals, traders see formidable institutional barriers to rupture.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,789
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices UAE departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) at just 8% for 2026, reflecting strong official commitments to the alliance despite recent strains. The UAE's abrupt OPEC exit on April 28, effective May 1—amid frustrations over oil quotas and perceived lack of GCC solidarity during Iranian missile strikes on Fujairah—sparked speculation of broader multilateral reviews, but presidential advisor Anwar Gargash explicitly ruled out further withdrawals. Ongoing cooperation persists via joint military drills like Gulf Shield 2026, EU-GCC foreign ministers' meetings in March, and UAE pushes for deeper trade integration announced May 1, with Abu Dhabi set to assume GCC presidency later this year. Absent concrete exit signals, traders see formidable institutional barriers to rupture.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,789
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「UAEは2026年に湾岸協力会議を脱退しますか?」で9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 28, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?」の現在のリーダーは「UAEは2026年に湾岸協力会議を脱退しますか?」でわずか9%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アラブ首長国連邦( UAE )は2026年に湾岸協力会議( Gulf Cooperation Council )を離脱するか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。