Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply curtailed OPEC crude output, with secondary sources showing a 1.74 million barrel-per-day drop to 33.19 million bpd in April. The United Arab Emirates' departure from OPEC on May 1 removes roughly 3.4 million bpd from reported totals, amplifying the March baseline plunge to 20.79 million bpd. Core members agreed to modest quota hikes of 206,000 bpd for May and 188,000 bpd for June to signal stability, yet actual compliance remains limited by transit constraints and demand forecasts revised lower for 2026. Traders monitor these supply shocks against gradual adjustments, with resolution tied to the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's secondary-source averages for May.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/06/11
18 Million
28%
19 Million
31%
20 Million
14%
21 Million
8%
$4,042 Vol.
18 Million
$704 Vol.
28%
19 Million
$1,169 Vol.
31%
20 Million
$1,185 Vol.
14%
21 Million
$985 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply curtailed OPEC crude output, with secondary sources showing a 1.74 million barrel-per-day drop to 33.19 million bpd in April. The United Arab Emirates' departure from OPEC on May 1 removes roughly 3.4 million bpd from reported totals, amplifying the March baseline plunge to 20.79 million bpd. Core members agreed to modest quota hikes of 206,000 bpd for May and 188,000 bpd for June to signal stability, yet actual compliance remains limited by transit constraints and demand forecasts revised lower for 2026. Traders monitor these supply shocks against gradual adjustments, with resolution tied to the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's secondary-source averages for May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
音量
$4,042終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply curtailed OPEC crude output, with secondary sources showing a 1.74 million barrel-per-day drop to 33.19 million bpd in April. The United Arab Emirates' departure from OPEC on May 1 removes roughly 3.4 million bpd from reported totals, amplifying the March baseline plunge to 20.79 million bpd. Core members agreed to modest quota hikes of 206,000 bpd for May and 188,000 bpd for June to signal stability, yet actual compliance remains limited by transit constraints and demand forecasts revised lower for 2026. Traders monitor these supply shocks against gradual adjustments, with resolution tied to the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's secondary-source averages for May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
音量
$4,042終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply curtailed OPEC crude output, with secondary sources showing a 1.74 million barrel-per-day drop to 33.19 million bpd in April. The United Arab Emirates' departure from OPEC on May 1 removes roughly 3.4 million bpd from reported totals, amplifying the March baseline plunge to 20.79 million bpd. Core members agreed to modest quota hikes of 206,000 bpd for May and 188,000 bpd for June to signal stability, yet actual compliance remains limited by transit constraints and demand forecasts revised lower for 2026. Traders monitor these supply shocks against gradual adjustments, with resolution tied to the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's secondary-source averages for May.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問