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icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$88,446 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$88,446 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$14,614 Vol.

14%

Frontier Airlines

$29,724 Vol.

26%

Allegiant

$19,789 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$7,095 Vol.

8%

Alaska Airlines

$17,223 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices—up 56% year-over-year to $3.13 per gallon in March 2026 amid Iran conflict tensions—have amplified balance sheet strains on debt-laden low-cost carriers following Spirit Airlines' May 2 liquidation, driving Polymarket's trader consensus to price Frontier Airlines bankruptcy announcement at 30% implied probability, highest among outcomes. Frontier's Q1 net loss widened to $272 million despite record revenue, though $974 million liquidity provides a buffer against near-term pressures; JetBlue follows at 14% with $2.4 billion liquidity cushioning $755 million 2026 debt maturities after a $319 million Q1 loss. Majors like American exhibit resilience via $10.8 billion liquidity. Q2 earnings in July and fuel trajectory will test capacity discipline and fare pass-through amid elevated interest rates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$88,446
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices—up 56% year-over-year to $3.13 per gallon in March 2026 amid Iran conflict tensions—have amplified balance sheet strains on debt-laden low-cost carriers following Spirit Airlines' May 2 liquidation, driving Polymarket's trader consensus to price Frontier Airlines bankruptcy announcement at 30% implied probability, highest among outcomes. Frontier's Q1 net loss widened to $272 million despite record revenue, though $974 million liquidity provides a buffer against near-term pressures; JetBlue follows at 14% with $2.4 billion liquidity cushioning $755 million 2026 debt maturities after a $319 million Q1 loss. Majors like American exhibit resilience via $10.8 billion liquidity. Q2 earnings in July and fuel trajectory will test capacity discipline and fare pass-through amid elevated interest rates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$88,446
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Frontier Airlines」で26%、次いで「JetBlue」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」は$88.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Frontier Airlines」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「JetBlue」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。