The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the January 2026 executive order imposing secondary tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and subsequent sanctions on the tourism ministry and state enterprises, has deepened the island’s fuel and economic crisis while reinforcing the comprehensive embargo. Rhetoric from U.S. officials about potential talks or a “deal” has coincided with explicit regime-change goals and rejection of Cuban preconditions for dialogue. Cuba’s limited internal reforms and overtures for technical cooperation have produced no verifiable progress toward normalized trade or sanctions relief. These dynamics, set against historical barriers to lifting the embargo without congressional action, underpin trader pricing that assigns low probability to an economic agreement by late 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$432,060 Vol.
2026/12/31
December 31
26%
$432,060 Vol.
December 31
$20,188 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the January 2026 executive order imposing secondary tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and subsequent sanctions on the tourism ministry and state enterprises, has deepened the island’s fuel and economic crisis while reinforcing the comprehensive embargo. Rhetoric from U.S. officials about potential talks or a “deal” has coincided with explicit regime-change goals and rejection of Cuban preconditions for dialogue. Cuba’s limited internal reforms and overtures for technical cooperation have produced no verifiable progress toward normalized trade or sanctions relief. These dynamics, set against historical barriers to lifting the embargo without congressional action, underpin trader pricing that assigns low probability to an economic agreement by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
音量
$432,060終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the January 2026 executive order imposing secondary tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and subsequent sanctions on the tourism ministry and state enterprises, has deepened the island’s fuel and economic crisis while reinforcing the comprehensive embargo. Rhetoric from U.S. officials about potential talks or a “deal” has coincided with explicit regime-change goals and rejection of Cuban preconditions for dialogue. Cuba’s limited internal reforms and overtures for technical cooperation have produced no verifiable progress toward normalized trade or sanctions relief. These dynamics, set against historical barriers to lifting the embargo without congressional action, underpin trader pricing that assigns low probability to an economic agreement by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$432,060終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the January 2026 executive order imposing secondary tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and subsequent sanctions on the tourism ministry and state enterprises, has deepened the island’s fuel and economic crisis while reinforcing the comprehensive embargo. Rhetoric from U.S. officials about potential talks or a “deal” has coincided with explicit regime-change goals and rejection of Cuban preconditions for dialogue. Cuba’s limited internal reforms and overtures for technical cooperation have produced no verifiable progress toward normalized trade or sanctions relief. These dynamics, set against historical barriers to lifting the embargo without congressional action, underpin trader pricing that assigns low probability to an economic agreement by late 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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