Trader consensus implies a mere 6% chance of a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable plotting or unrest against President Zelenskyy's government amid martial law suspending elections until the Russian invasion ends. Recent parliamentary tensions, including April dissent within Zelenskyy's Servant of the People faction and a corruption scandal prompting his chief of staff's dismissal, have not escalated into broader challenges to authority. The SBU's 2024 foiling of a pro-Russian overthrow plot highlights ongoing security measures, while focus remains on diplomatic maneuvers like reduced U.S. reliance and stalled peace talks. Sudden elite fractures or invasion breakthroughs could shift dynamics, but stability prevails.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$12,220 Vol.
$12,220 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$12,220 Vol.
$12,220 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus implies a mere 6% chance of a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable plotting or unrest against President Zelenskyy's government amid martial law suspending elections until the Russian invasion ends. Recent parliamentary tensions, including April dissent within Zelenskyy's Servant of the People faction and a corruption scandal prompting his chief of staff's dismissal, have not escalated into broader challenges to authority. The SBU's 2024 foiling of a pro-Russian overthrow plot highlights ongoing security measures, while focus remains on diplomatic maneuvers like reduced U.S. reliance and stalled peace talks. Sudden elite fractures or invasion breakthroughs could shift dynamics, but stability prevails.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
音量
$12,220終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus implies a mere 6% chance of a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable plotting or unrest against President Zelenskyy's government amid martial law suspending elections until the Russian invasion ends. Recent parliamentary tensions, including April dissent within Zelenskyy's Servant of the People faction and a corruption scandal prompting his chief of staff's dismissal, have not escalated into broader challenges to authority. The SBU's 2024 foiling of a pro-Russian overthrow plot highlights ongoing security measures, while focus remains on diplomatic maneuvers like reduced U.S. reliance and stalled peace talks. Sudden elite fractures or invasion breakthroughs could shift dynamics, but stability prevails.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$12,220終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a mere 6% chance of a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable plotting or unrest against President Zelenskyy's government amid martial law suspending elections until the Russian invasion ends. Recent parliamentary tensions, including April dissent within Zelenskyy's Servant of the People faction and a corruption scandal prompting his chief of staff's dismissal, have not escalated into broader challenges to authority. The SBU's 2024 foiling of a pro-Russian overthrow plot highlights ongoing security measures, while focus remains on diplomatic maneuvers like reduced U.S. reliance and stalled peace talks. Sudden elite fractures or invasion breakthroughs could shift dynamics, but stability prevails.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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