Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s early August comments on intensifying mediation efforts over the coming weeks, have shaped trader views on the prospects for renewed Russia-Ukraine talks. February rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced only prisoner exchanges amid persistent gaps on territory, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms. In June, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy proposed direct leader-level discussions, but Russian President Putin rejected the overture, reiterating demands tied to prior Istanbul and Anchorage references and Donbas control. European leaders from the UK, France, and Germany have advanced a parallel framework emphasizing Ukraine’s security anchors, while battlefield realities—Russia holding roughly 20 percent of Ukrainian territory and periodic strikes—continue to influence leverage on both sides. Any near-term resumption would hinge on U.S. coordination and verifiable de-escalation steps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$314,522 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
27%
12月31日
62%
$314,522 Vol.
9月30日
$152,353 Vol.
27%
12月31日
$143,457 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s early August comments on intensifying mediation efforts over the coming weeks, have shaped trader views on the prospects for renewed Russia-Ukraine talks. February rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced only prisoner exchanges amid persistent gaps on territory, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms. In June, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy proposed direct leader-level discussions, but Russian President Putin rejected the overture, reiterating demands tied to prior Istanbul and Anchorage references and Donbas control. European leaders from the UK, France, and Germany have advanced a parallel framework emphasizing Ukraine’s security anchors, while battlefield realities—Russia holding roughly 20 percent of Ukrainian territory and periodic strikes—continue to influence leverage on both sides. Any near-term resumption would hinge on U.S. coordination and verifiable de-escalation steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
音量
$314,522終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s early August comments on intensifying mediation efforts over the coming weeks, have shaped trader views on the prospects for renewed Russia-Ukraine talks. February rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced only prisoner exchanges amid persistent gaps on territory, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms. In June, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy proposed direct leader-level discussions, but Russian President Putin rejected the overture, reiterating demands tied to prior Istanbul and Anchorage references and Donbas control. European leaders from the UK, France, and Germany have advanced a parallel framework emphasizing Ukraine’s security anchors, while battlefield realities—Russia holding roughly 20 percent of Ukrainian territory and periodic strikes—continue to influence leverage on both sides. Any near-term resumption would hinge on U.S. coordination and verifiable de-escalation steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$314,522終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s early August comments on intensifying mediation efforts over the coming weeks, have shaped trader views on the prospects for renewed Russia-Ukraine talks. February rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced only prisoner exchanges amid persistent gaps on territory, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms. In June, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy proposed direct leader-level discussions, but Russian President Putin rejected the overture, reiterating demands tied to prior Istanbul and Anchorage references and Donbas control. European leaders from the UK, France, and Germany have advanced a parallel framework emphasizing Ukraine’s security anchors, while battlefield realities—Russia holding roughly 20 percent of Ukrainian territory and periodic strikes—continue to influence leverage on both sides. Any near-term resumption would hinge on U.S. coordination and verifiable de-escalation steps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問