Russia and Ukraine continue their prolonged rivalry with neither side showing signs of fatigue or key roster adjustments that could open a path to resolution. Recent battlefield momentum, including sustained Ukrainian strikes and Russian defensive stands, has kept both in competitive form while core issues like territorial control and security guarantees remain unresolved sticking points. US-mediated discussions have produced proposals but no breakthrough, akin to stalled trade talks amid deep-seated matchup imbalances. Short-term ceasefires have failed to hold, underscoring the absence of mutual rest or de-escalation advantages. Traders price the parlay at just 9.5% implied probability for peace given these entrenched dynamics and lack of imminent lineup changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$598,628 Vol.
$598,628 Vol.
はい
$598,628 Vol.
$598,628 Vol.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russia and Ukraine continue their prolonged rivalry with neither side showing signs of fatigue or key roster adjustments that could open a path to resolution. Recent battlefield momentum, including sustained Ukrainian strikes and Russian defensive stands, has kept both in competitive form while core issues like territorial control and security guarantees remain unresolved sticking points. US-mediated discussions have produced proposals but no breakthrough, akin to stalled trade talks amid deep-seated matchup imbalances. Short-term ceasefires have failed to hold, underscoring the absence of mutual rest or de-escalation advantages. Traders price the parlay at just 9.5% implied probability for peace given these entrenched dynamics and lack of imminent lineup changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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