Russia's dominant offensive form, marked by its heaviest drone and missile barrage on Ukraine in recent days—including strikes flattening a Kyiv apartment block and damaging infrastructure on May 14—has solidified trader consensus at 81% "No" for the peace parlay. Despite a brief U.S.-mediated ceasefire from May 9-11 and Putin's May 9 claim that the conflict is nearing an end, mutual accusations of violations, Zelenskiy's assertion of Russia's lack of intent to stop, and ongoing battlefield clashes underscore stalled negotiations. Ukraine's defensive resilience faces mounting pressure from Russia's aerial superiority and territorial advances, with no confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week to shift the matchup dynamics toward resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$468,572 Vol.
$468,572 Vol.
はい
$468,572 Vol.
$468,572 Vol.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's dominant offensive form, marked by its heaviest drone and missile barrage on Ukraine in recent days—including strikes flattening a Kyiv apartment block and damaging infrastructure on May 14—has solidified trader consensus at 81% "No" for the peace parlay. Despite a brief U.S.-mediated ceasefire from May 9-11 and Putin's May 9 claim that the conflict is nearing an end, mutual accusations of violations, Zelenskiy's assertion of Russia's lack of intent to stop, and ongoing battlefield clashes underscore stalled negotiations. Ukraine's defensive resilience faces mounting pressure from Russia's aerial superiority and territorial advances, with no confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week to shift the matchup dynamics toward resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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