Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 77%, reflecting stalled US-mediated trilateral peace talks between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States since the February 2026 Geneva meetings, with subsequent rounds postponed amid Middle East tensions and no comprehensive ceasefire achieved. Ukraine's ongoing martial law—extended repeatedly since 2022—constitutionally prohibits national referendums, a barrier highlighted by NGOs deeming the idea unlawful and public polls showing majority opposition without prior security guarantees. Despite a brief three-day truce mediated by President Trump on May 9-11 and earlier US pressure for a vote by May 15, no announcement materialized, and recent Russian strikes on Kyiv underscore persistent hostilities, dimming prospects for a peace deal referendum before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$13,107 Vol.
$13,107 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$13,107 Vol.
$13,107 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 77%, reflecting stalled US-mediated trilateral peace talks between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States since the February 2026 Geneva meetings, with subsequent rounds postponed amid Middle East tensions and no comprehensive ceasefire achieved. Ukraine's ongoing martial law—extended repeatedly since 2022—constitutionally prohibits national referendums, a barrier highlighted by NGOs deeming the idea unlawful and public polls showing majority opposition without prior security guarantees. Despite a brief three-day truce mediated by President Trump on May 9-11 and earlier US pressure for a vote by May 15, no announcement materialized, and recent Russian strikes on Kyiv underscore persistent hostilities, dimming prospects for a peace deal referendum before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$13,107終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 77%, reflecting stalled US-mediated trilateral peace talks between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States since the February 2026 Geneva meetings, with subsequent rounds postponed amid Middle East tensions and no comprehensive ceasefire achieved. Ukraine's ongoing martial law—extended repeatedly since 2022—constitutionally prohibits national referendums, a barrier highlighted by NGOs deeming the idea unlawful and public polls showing majority opposition without prior security guarantees. Despite a brief three-day truce mediated by President Trump on May 9-11 and earlier US pressure for a vote by May 15, no announcement materialized, and recent Russian strikes on Kyiv underscore persistent hostilities, dimming prospects for a peace deal referendum before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,107終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 77%, reflecting stalled US-mediated trilateral peace talks between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States since the February 2026 Geneva meetings, with subsequent rounds postponed amid Middle East tensions and no comprehensive ceasefire achieved. Ukraine's ongoing martial law—extended repeatedly since 2022—constitutionally prohibits national referendums, a barrier highlighted by NGOs deeming the idea unlawful and public polls showing majority opposition without prior security guarantees. Despite a brief three-day truce mediated by President Trump on May 9-11 and earlier US pressure for a vote by May 15, no announcement materialized, and recent Russian strikes on Kyiv underscore persistent hostilities, dimming prospects for a peace deal referendum before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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