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EU/NATO加盟国がウクライナでの平和維持軍の派遣を発表

icon for EU/NATO加盟国がウクライナでの平和維持軍の派遣を発表

EU/NATO加盟国がウクライナでの平和維持軍の派遣を発表

$461,830 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$461,830 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$64,696 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.European discussions on post-ceasefire security guarantees for Ukraine center on the UK-France-led Coalition of the Willing. A January 2026 Declaration of Intent with Kyiv outlined multinational force roles in training, force regeneration, deterrence operations, and military hubs once conditions allow. The June 2026 European Council reaffirmed readiness to contribute through this framework alongside US coordination, yet no individual EU or NATO member has issued a formal troop commitment announcement in recent months. Russia continues to reject any such deployment as unviable and a direct threat. Progress remains tied to stalled broader peace negotiations, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether a ceasefire or new diplomatic breakthrough will emerge before the 2026 deadline to trigger a national announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$461,830
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.European discussions on post-ceasefire security guarantees for Ukraine center on the UK-France-led Coalition of the Willing. A January 2026 Declaration of Intent with Kyiv outlined multinational force roles in training, force regeneration, deterrence operations, and military hubs once conditions allow. The June 2026 European Council reaffirmed readiness to contribute through this framework alongside US coordination, yet no individual EU or NATO member has issued a formal troop commitment announcement in recent months. Russia continues to reject any such deployment as unviable and a direct threat. Progress remains tied to stalled broader peace negotiations, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether a ceasefire or new diplomatic breakthrough will emerge before the 2026 deadline to trigger a national announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$461,830
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

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これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「EU/NATO加盟国がウクライナでの平和維持軍の派遣を発表」の現在のリーダーは「12月31日」でわずか5%、「6月30日」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

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